CAJ | 학술논문

作者充分利用现有气象设备，采用多种高级编程语言，研制哈尔滨机场雷暴分析预报系统，其中利用现有气象信息网资源，实现初始数据自动读取和综合分析处理；采用相似分析技术，实现雷暴天气形势的自动相似判别；利用天气学方法和数理统计法，建立集成分析预报模式，实现0-24h 雷暴概率短期预报；基于天气雷达回波，采用交叉相关算法，实现0-1h 强对流临近预报预警。经应用表明，该系统运行及预报预警情况均达到了预期效果。
작자충분이용현유기상설비，채용다충고급편정어언，연제합이빈궤장뇌폭분석예보계통，기중이용현유기상신식망자원，실현초시수거자동독취화종합분석처리；채용상사분석기술，실현뇌폭천기형세적자동상사판별；이용천기학방법화수리통계법，건립집성분석예보모식，실현0-24h 뇌폭개솔단기예보；기우천기뢰체회파，채용교차상관산법，실현0-1h 강대류림근예보예경。경응용표명，해계통운행급예보예경정황균체도료예기효과。
The study of the Harbin Airport Thunderstorm Analyzing and Forecasting System made full use of the exist-ing meteorological equipments and a variety of high-level programming languages,for example:it can reading and analyzing the initial data automatically by using the meteorological information network,discriminating the thunderstorm weather situ-ation automatically by using the analog discriminatory analysis method,issuing the 0-24h thunderstorm probability predic-tion which weights the established weather forecast model by using the synoptic forecasting and mathematical statistics meth-od,issuing the 0-1h thunderstorm nowcasting and warning by using the cross-correlation method based on weather radar echoes.The application shows that the system operation and nowcasing and warning are achieved the desired effect.