CAJ | 학술논문

北京市每年都在吸纳越来越多的外来人口，2005～2012年，北京市城镇新增就业人数平均每年达到40.5万人，而对于北京市服务业带动就业能力的实证研究则相对较少。本文通过对1979～2012年北京市服务业就业弹性分析发现，北京市服务业的增长以及服务业对就业的吸纳能力有波动中下降的趋势；从服务业内部就业效应的分析可以看出，信息传输、计算机服务和软件业，金融业和房地产业是未来北京市拉动就业能力最强、潜力最大的行业。
북경시매년도재흡납월래월다적외래인구，2005～2012년，북경시성진신증취업인수평균매년체도40.5만인，이대우북경시복무업대동취업능력적실증연구칙상대교소。본문통과대1979～2012년북경시복무업취업탄성분석발현，북경시복무업적증장이급복무업대취업적흡납능력유파동중하강적추세；종복무업내부취업효응적분석가이간출，신식전수、계산궤복무화연건업，금융업화방지산업시미래북경시랍동취업능력최강、잠력최대적행업。
Based on the research of the 1979-2012 annual growth rate of Beijing services production val-ue and service sector employment growth comparison,as well as Beijing services employment elasticity among various industries and service employment elasticity analysis,it has been found that Beijing services and its a-bility of absorbing employment growth are in the downward trend.However,the employment services among industries have different capacities to absorb employment.In general,transportation,storage and postal serv-ices,information transmission,computer services and software industry,the financial sector and the real es-tate industry,these four sectors have the highest of sector employment elasticity.