CAJ | 학술논문

为了分析和预测煤炭资源的合理产能，以山东省煤炭资源生产情况为背景，采用系统动力学方法，选取煤炭企业成本、利润等因素为主要系统变量，构建了区域内煤炭资源合理产能系统模型，在对模型进行历史仿真检验之后，针对不同的区域经济发展情况，对三种经济方案下的煤炭资源合理产能进行了预测和分析。
위료분석화예측매탄자원적합리산능，이산동성매탄자원생산정황위배경，채용계통동역학방법，선취매탄기업성본、리윤등인소위주요계통변량，구건료구역내매탄자원합리산능계통모형，재대모형진행역사방진검험지후，침대불동적구역경제발전정황，대삼충경제방안하적매탄자원합리산능진행료예측화분석。
In order to analyze and forecast the reasonable productivity of coal resource,a sysG tem model about regional coal resource reasonable productivity is established using system dyG namics method on the background of coal production states in Shandong province. The factors such as production cost of coal enterprise,profit and others are taken as system variables in the model.Reasonable productivity of coal resource is forecasted and analyzed via changing developG ment of the regional economic after the historic simulation checkout.