金陵科技学院学报(社会科学版)
金陵科技學院學報(社會科學版)
금릉과기학원학보(사회과학판)
JOURNAL OF JINLING INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY(SOCIAL SCIENCE)
2014年
2期
22-28
,共7页
马凌%韩纪琴%Sana Sehar
馬凌%韓紀琴%Sana Sehar
마릉%한기금%Sana Sehar
托达罗模型%市民化%非经济成本%预期净收益%生命周期
託達囉模型%市民化%非經濟成本%預期淨收益%生命週期
탁체라모형%시민화%비경제성본%예기정수익%생명주기
Todaro model%citizenization%non economic cost%expected net income%life cycle
从变量的修正补充、模型的应用拓展及政策实践几个方面对托达罗模型的研究现状进行了简要述评,指出现有文献存在一些问题:如使用同一模型解释永久、非永久迁移两种行为决策的不足和引入的非经济收益或成本无法量化。针对我国市民化两阶段特征,指出“农民-农民工”转换阶段为个体短期迁移决策,主要依据城乡预期收入差异,适合运用托达罗模型原型;而“农民工-市民”转换阶段为家庭长期定居决策,主要依据家庭城乡预期净收益差异,且更为重视非经济收益和成本,适合运用拓展的托达罗模型。
從變量的脩正補充、模型的應用拓展及政策實踐幾箇方麵對託達囉模型的研究現狀進行瞭簡要述評,指齣現有文獻存在一些問題:如使用同一模型解釋永久、非永久遷移兩種行為決策的不足和引入的非經濟收益或成本無法量化。針對我國市民化兩階段特徵,指齣“農民-農民工”轉換階段為箇體短期遷移決策,主要依據城鄉預期收入差異,適閤運用託達囉模型原型;而“農民工-市民”轉換階段為傢庭長期定居決策,主要依據傢庭城鄉預期淨收益差異,且更為重視非經濟收益和成本,適閤運用拓展的託達囉模型。
종변량적수정보충、모형적응용탁전급정책실천궤개방면대탁체라모형적연구현상진행료간요술평,지출현유문헌존재일사문제:여사용동일모형해석영구、비영구천이량충행위결책적불족화인입적비경제수익혹성본무법양화。침대아국시민화량계단특정,지출“농민-농민공”전환계단위개체단기천이결책,주요의거성향예기수입차이,괄합운용탁체라모형원형;이“농민공-시민”전환계단위가정장기정거결책,주요의거가정성향예기정수익차이,차경위중시비경제수익화성본,괄합운용탁전적탁체라모형。
This paper briefly reviews the research status on Todaro model from several aspects, such as the modified model variables,application development and policy practice,and points out that there are many problems in the existing literatures,such as using the same model not to enough explain the behavior decision-making on the permanent and the non permanent mi-gration,and the problem of non economic profits or costs can not be quantified.In view of two stages characteristics of China?s citizenization,the paper points out that the conversion stage of“farmers to migrant workers”is individual short-term migration decision-making,primarily based on urban and rural expected income differences,which applies to the traditional Todaro model;while the conversion stage of“migrant workers to citizens”is the family long-term set-tled decision-making,mainly based on the difference of expected net income between urban and rural families,and in this stage,pay more attention to the non economic profits and costs, which applies to the expanded Todaro model.