CAJ | 학술논문

根据广西2001-2010年经济增长与环境质量的相关数据，采用SPSS 软件系统，建立了单位GDP大气污染排放量与人均GDP的回归模型。分析结果表明：广西的经济增长与环境污染不存在倒U 型的环境库兹涅茨曲线，而是存在正U 型的环境库兹涅茨曲线，目前仍未出现拐点。这表明，广西仍处在经济发展的初级阶段，经济发展总体较为落后，经济增长与环境保护，二者并不能实现“双赢”的发展模式。广西目前以及将来存在着“经济增长和单位GDP大气污染排放量”的发展悖论，该悖论是困扰广西进一步发展的强约束条件。建议广西应当在自身发展战略的实施过程中给予重视，并注重发展低碳产业，努力实现经济增长和单位GDP大气污染排放量的相对脱钩发展，实现低碳经济转型目标。
근거엄서2001-2010년경제증장여배경질량적상관수거，채용SPSS 연건계통，건립료단위GDP대기오염배방량여인균GDP적회귀모형。분석결과표명：엄서적경제증장여배경오염불존재도U 형적배경고자열자곡선，이시존재정U 형적배경고자열자곡선，목전잉미출현괴점。저표명，엄서잉처재경제발전적초급계단，경제발전총체교위락후，경제증장여배경보호，이자병불능실현“쌍영”적발전모식。엄서목전이급장래존재착“경제증장화단위GDP대기오염배방량”적발전패론，해패론시곤우엄서진일보발전적강약속조건。건의엄서응당재자신발전전략적실시과정중급여중시，병주중발전저탄산업，노력실현경제증장화단위GDP대기오염배방량적상대탈구발전，실현저탄경제전형목표。
According to the relevant data of Guangxi economic grow th and environmental quality from 2001 to 2010 ,and using SPSS software systems ,the article established the regression model of the air pollution emissions per unit of GDP and GDP per capita .The results showed that there is no inverted U-shaped environmental Kuznets Curve with reference to Guangxi economic grow th and envi-ronment pollution ,but there is a positive U -shaped environmental Kuznets Curve ,w hich show s no sign of inflexion at present suggesting that Guangxi is still in the early stages of economic develop-ment ,lagging behind the overall economic development .Economic grow th and environmental protec-tion both can not achieve "win-win"model of development .Guangxi at present and in the future is experiencing the development paradox of "economic grow th and air pollution emissions per unit of GDP".The paradox is a strong constraint that puzzles the further development of Guangxi .It is sug-gested in the article that Guangxi should pay attention to the implementation of its development strat-egy ,and focus on the development of low -carbon industries ,and make effort to achieve development of economic grow th with relatively decoupling from air pollution emissions per unit of GDP ,and to a-chieve low carbon economy targets .