应用气象学报
應用氣象學報
응용기상학보
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY
2014年
4期
470-475
,共6页
闫敏慧%姚秀萍%王蕾%张金峰
閆敏慧%姚秀萍%王蕾%張金峰
염민혜%요수평%왕뢰%장금봉
层次分析法(AHP)%9分位标度法%0.618标度法%判断矩阵
層次分析法(AHP)%9分位標度法%0.618標度法%判斷矩陣
층차분석법(AHP)%9분위표도법%0.618표도법%판단구진
Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)%1-9 methods of scale%0.618 methods of scale%judgment matrix
在气象服务评价体系中,以气象服务总体评价为目标层,分层次确立一级和二级评价指标,利用2010年全国公众气象服务满意度调查中评价指标数据,应用层次分析法(AHP)中的9分位标度法和0.618标度法来构建判断矩阵,分析了各级评价指标的权重系数确定方法。分析发现,当评价指标少于5个时,可采用9分位标度法构建判断矩阵,以确定各评价指标的权重值;而当评价指标达到5个时,需采用0.618标度法来构建判断矩阵,计算出相应的权向量即为权重系数。将上述方法应用于2011年公众气象服务满意度调查数据中,前后两年主要评价指标对比显示,气象服务信息内容的权重在增加,而气象知识宣传普及的权重有所减小,即公众对于气象服务信息内容更为重视,同时气象部门对于公众的气象知识宣传普及工作也取得了成效。
在氣象服務評價體繫中,以氣象服務總體評價為目標層,分層次確立一級和二級評價指標,利用2010年全國公衆氣象服務滿意度調查中評價指標數據,應用層次分析法(AHP)中的9分位標度法和0.618標度法來構建判斷矩陣,分析瞭各級評價指標的權重繫數確定方法。分析髮現,噹評價指標少于5箇時,可採用9分位標度法構建判斷矩陣,以確定各評價指標的權重值;而噹評價指標達到5箇時,需採用0.618標度法來構建判斷矩陣,計算齣相應的權嚮量即為權重繫數。將上述方法應用于2011年公衆氣象服務滿意度調查數據中,前後兩年主要評價指標對比顯示,氣象服務信息內容的權重在增加,而氣象知識宣傳普及的權重有所減小,即公衆對于氣象服務信息內容更為重視,同時氣象部門對于公衆的氣象知識宣傳普及工作也取得瞭成效。
재기상복무평개체계중,이기상복무총체평개위목표층,분층차학립일급화이급평개지표,이용2010년전국공음기상복무만의도조사중평개지표수거,응용층차분석법(AHP)중적9분위표도법화0.618표도법래구건판단구진,분석료각급평개지표적권중계수학정방법。분석발현,당평개지표소우5개시,가채용9분위표도법구건판단구진,이학정각평개지표적권중치;이당평개지표체도5개시,수채용0.618표도법래구건판단구진,계산출상응적권향량즉위권중계수。장상술방법응용우2011년공음기상복무만의도조사수거중,전후량년주요평개지표대비현시,기상복무신식내용적권중재증가,이기상지식선전보급적권중유소감소,즉공음대우기상복무신식내용경위중시,동시기상부문대우공음적기상지식선전보급공작야취득료성효。
With the rapid development of social economy in China,the demand for meteorological service keeps growing,and the evaluation for meteorological service satisfaction becomes more important.The Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)method is used to evaluate the meteorological service satisfaction objectively, and constructing judgment matrix of good consistency is the key to use AHP. <br> Two scales of AHP are used to construct judgment matrix of good consistency,and then weight coef-ficients can be calculated and the meteorological service can be evaluated.In the assessment system of me-teorological service,using overall evaluation of meteorological services as the target layer,the first-grade and the second-grade evaluation indicators are composed.With the survey data of public satisfaction to me-teorological services of 2010,1-9 methods of scale and 0.618 methods of scale in AHP are applied to es-tablish the judgment matrices.It is found that for the judgment matrix with less than 5 evaluation indica-tors,1-9 methods of scale can be used;but for the judgment matrix with 5 evaluation indicators or more, 0.618 methods of scale should be used to calculate coefficients.The method is used in processing survey data of 2011,and coefficients for the first-grade and the second-grade evaluation indicators are calculated rapidly.The main value changes between two years are compared.Among weight coefficients for the first-grade,the value of meteorological information service contents increases while the value of meteorological knowledge propaganda and popularization decreases,which illustrates that the public pays more attention to the meteorological service contents and the meteorological department has achieved certain results in the meteorological knowledge propaganda and popularization.There is no obvious tendency change among val-ues of the second-grade evaluation indicators.All judgment matrices pass the comparison matrix consisten-cy tests,proving that the principle of judgment matrix construction is reasonable,effective and useful.