人口与经济
人口與經濟
인구여경제
POPULATION & ECONOMICS
2014年
4期
51-64
,共14页
经济开放%劳动力流动%产业集聚
經濟開放%勞動力流動%產業集聚
경제개방%노동력류동%산업집취
economy openness%labor migration%industry agglomeration
本文试图通过研究中国东部地区产业集聚过程中经济开放对劳动力流动的作用机制,解释我国在全球化过程中的大规模劳动力跨区域流动现象。建立了一个综合性的一般均衡新经济地理学模型,通过加入一个非盈利的公共交通部门引入了劳动力流动的交通成本,并在模型机理分析的基础上对中国的情况进行数值模拟,得到如下结论:经济开放触发了我国产业向东部集聚和劳动力的跨区域流动,并且是保持产业和劳动力向东部集聚的必要条件;经济开放通过影响迁移成本、就业、实际工资等因素影响迁移决定;经济开放对我国产业集聚、劳动力跨区域的流动具有促进作用,且经济开放程度越大这种促进作用越明显。只要我国对外开放的基本国策不变,在离心力超越向心力之前,产业仍将向东部地区集聚,这种中西部地区向东部地区的劳动力流动还将持续。
本文試圖通過研究中國東部地區產業集聚過程中經濟開放對勞動力流動的作用機製,解釋我國在全毬化過程中的大規模勞動力跨區域流動現象。建立瞭一箇綜閤性的一般均衡新經濟地理學模型,通過加入一箇非盈利的公共交通部門引入瞭勞動力流動的交通成本,併在模型機理分析的基礎上對中國的情況進行數值模擬,得到如下結論:經濟開放觸髮瞭我國產業嚮東部集聚和勞動力的跨區域流動,併且是保持產業和勞動力嚮東部集聚的必要條件;經濟開放通過影響遷移成本、就業、實際工資等因素影響遷移決定;經濟開放對我國產業集聚、勞動力跨區域的流動具有促進作用,且經濟開放程度越大這種促進作用越明顯。隻要我國對外開放的基本國策不變,在離心力超越嚮心力之前,產業仍將嚮東部地區集聚,這種中西部地區嚮東部地區的勞動力流動還將持續。
본문시도통과연구중국동부지구산업집취과정중경제개방대노동력류동적작용궤제,해석아국재전구화과정중적대규모노동력과구역류동현상。건립료일개종합성적일반균형신경제지이학모형,통과가입일개비영리적공공교통부문인입료노동력류동적교통성본,병재모형궤리분석적기출상대중국적정황진행수치모의,득도여하결론:경제개방촉발료아국산업향동부집취화노동력적과구역류동,병차시보지산업화노동력향동부집취적필요조건;경제개방통과영향천이성본、취업、실제공자등인소영향천이결정;경제개방대아국산업집취、노동력과구역적류동구유촉진작용,차경제개방정도월대저충촉진작용월명현。지요아국대외개방적기본국책불변,재리심력초월향심력지전,산업잉장향동부지구집취,저충중서부지구향동부지구적노동력류동환장지속。
This research tries to explain why large scale labors migrate from the interior to the coast during China ’ s globalization process .We shed a light on the mechanism of economy openness effect on labor interregional migration when industries agglomerate to Chinese eastern area .We construct a comprehensive general equilibrium new economy geography model .We add a non-profit public transportation sector to reflect the migration fee .Then, we analyze model ’ s centripetal force and centrifugal force , make numerical simulation of the model according to Chinese conditions . The results show: during Chinese globalization process , economy openness is the trigger and essential condition of industry agglomeration and labor migration; economy openness will effect short-term equilibrium , and effect many variables determining labor migration decision , including employment , real wage and price index;economy openness would affect migration through affecting migration cost directly;economy openness would play role on the whole industry agglomeration process to effect labor movement; economy openness promote both industry agglomeration and labor interregional migration , and the degree of openness is deeper the promotion effect is more obvious .As long as China insists on basic policy of open economy , industry will still agglomerate in eastern area until centrifugal force beyond centripetal force , and the trend of labor movement from western area and middle area toward eastern area will continue .