人口与经济
人口與經濟
인구여경제
POPULATION & ECONOMICS
2014年
4期
43-50
,共8页
城市群%城市化%长三角%京津冀%ROXY指数
城市群%城市化%長三角%京津冀%ROXY指數
성시군%성시화%장삼각%경진기%ROXY지수
metropolitan areas%urbanization%Yangtze metropolitan%Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan%ROXY Index
文章从城市化空间路径理论出发,运用全国人口普查与抽样调查数据以及ROXY指数方法,分析人口在区域空间的增长变动对长三角和京津冀城市群及其核心城市上海和北京的城市化空间路径发展的影响作用。研究发现,20世纪80年代以来,长三角城市群处于人口加速集中的城市化阶段,京津冀城市群已进入人口减速集中的城市化与郊区化之间的过渡阶段;城市群的核心城市上海和北京分别处于人口逆城市化至再城市化之间的过渡以及人口郊区化与逆城市化之间的过渡阶段,其城市化的空间发展较城市群区域整体更为快速和成熟;上海人口城市化的空间发展超前于产业结构升级,北京则与产业结构演进较为匹配。
文章從城市化空間路徑理論齣髮,運用全國人口普查與抽樣調查數據以及ROXY指數方法,分析人口在區域空間的增長變動對長三角和京津冀城市群及其覈心城市上海和北京的城市化空間路徑髮展的影響作用。研究髮現,20世紀80年代以來,長三角城市群處于人口加速集中的城市化階段,京津冀城市群已進入人口減速集中的城市化與郊區化之間的過渡階段;城市群的覈心城市上海和北京分彆處于人口逆城市化至再城市化之間的過渡以及人口郊區化與逆城市化之間的過渡階段,其城市化的空間髮展較城市群區域整體更為快速和成熟;上海人口城市化的空間髮展超前于產業結構升級,北京則與產業結構縯進較為匹配。
문장종성시화공간로경이론출발,운용전국인구보사여추양조사수거이급ROXY지수방법,분석인구재구역공간적증장변동대장삼각화경진기성시군급기핵심성시상해화북경적성시화공간로경발전적영향작용。연구발현,20세기80년대이래,장삼각성시군처우인구가속집중적성시화계단,경진기성시군이진입인구감속집중적성시화여교구화지간적과도계단;성시군적핵심성시상해화북경분별처우인구역성시화지재성시화지간적과도이급인구교구화여역성시화지간적과도계단,기성시화적공간발전교성시군구역정체경위쾌속화성숙;상해인구성시화적공간발전초전우산업결구승급,북경칙여산업결구연진교위필배。
Based on China population census data , this paper analyzes the influence of population growth on the spatial stages of urbanization in Yangtze Delta and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei using the theories and models of spatial path of urbanization with the method of ROXY index .It manifests that from 1980s, spatial stage of the Yangtze Delta is in urbanization of population accelerating centralization while Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Metropolitan is in the transition from urbanization to suburbanization of population decelerating centralization; As core cities of the above two metropolitans , Shanghai and Beijing are at the stage of the transition from counter-urbanization to re-urbanization and from suburbanization to counter-urbanization respectively .So the spatial circular stage of urbanization in the core city is more advanced then it in the metropolitan as a whole .The spatial development of population urbanization in Beijing matches its industrial structure whereas the spatial development of population urbanization in Shanghai is ahead of its industrial structure upgrading .