CAJ | 학술논문

广东省是我国能源消费最集中的区域，能源供需矛盾十分突出，因此探讨保障广东省能源安全的途径和政策措施，实现广东省经济社会可持续发展显得尤为重要。本文在明晰广东省能源安全现状的基础上，利用DPSIR评价方法，分别从驱动力、压力、状态、影响和响应五个方面构建了评价指标集和能源安全综合评价模型，对广东省1998～2008年的能源安全进行了定量的评价。基于评价结果，本文提出了改善“驱动力”、降低“压力”、恢复“状态”和消除“影响”的保障广东省能源安全的响应对策，以期为广东省制定合理的能源发展战略，有效地规避能源安全风险提供理论支持。
광동성시아국능원소비최집중적구역，능원공수모순십분돌출，인차탐토보장광동성능원안전적도경화정책조시，실현광동성경제사회가지속발전현득우위중요。본문재명석광동성능원안전현상적기출상，이용DPSIR평개방법，분별종구동력、압력、상태、영향화향응오개방면구건료평개지표집화능원안전종합평개모형，대광동성1998～2008년적능원안전진행료정량적평개。기우평개결과，본문제출료개선“구동력”、강저“압력”、회복“상태”화소제“영향”적보장광동성능원안전적향응대책，이기위광동성제정합리적능원발전전략，유효지규피능원안전풍험제공이론지지。
The spatial distribution imbalances of energy supply and consumption intensifies the regional energy security issues .Guangdong Province is densely populated and economically developed ,where most of China's energy consumption is concentrated in this area on the one hand and it is rather poor in energy resources and very serious in energy supply and demand contradiction on the other hand . To guarantee energy security of Guangdong Province is the key of sustainable economic and social development at local level . As a result , it is particularly important to comprehensively evaluate the energy security situation in Guangdong Province , to protect Guangdong Province of energy security means and to formulate policy measures . The DPSIR assessment method , which implies the relationships among driving force (D ) , pressure (P) ,state (S) ,impact (I) ,and response (R) ,is widely applied by scholars .This paper aims to establish a comprehensive assessment system for regional energy security in Guangdong Province from 1995 through 2008 based on the above model using different indicators . Factor analysis was also used to carry out scientific and quantitative assessments . Conclusions are drawn as follows . First , population , economic and industrial structure are the main driving force factors that energy security situation changed in Guangdong Province . Second , energy security pressure of Guangdong Province is mainly determined by the lack of fossil energy resources (coal , oil) , energy efficiency and energy structure . Third , economic efficiency of energy is the critical factors that affect energy security state in Guangdong Province . Fourth , the impact that related to energy production and consumption is mainly focus on the environment , and therefore energy security " response" should expand by sticking closely to energy-saving and emission-reduction that ensure energy utilization security ,the highest goal of energy security .Because of this ,some countermeasures and suggestions for energy security in Guangdong Province were pointed out , which aims to establish appropriate development strategy of Guangdong Province , as well as provide theoretical support for evading energy security risk effectively .