CAJ | 학술논문

为验证AHP-TOPSIS 评判模型预测岩爆的可行性，依据层次分析法(AHP)与逼近理想解排序法(TOPSIS)的基本理论建立出岩爆预测评判模型，从岩性条件、应力条件与围岩条件3个方面选取岩爆发生的评判指标，再根据评判指标的临界值构建出岩爆等级判断准则，并通过AHP法客观确定各评判指标的权重向量，进而结合TOPSIS法分析贴近度并计算得出岩爆预测等级。实例应用得出，基于AHP-TOPSIS评判模型的岩爆预测结果与实际结果相吻合，同时与模糊数学的评判结果基本相符。该方法较全面地考虑了岩爆发生的多种影响因素，避免了单一判据的局限性，并对各种因素的重要性进行对比分析，使预测结果更为科学，可作为岩爆预测的理论依据，同时可为岩爆灾害预测提供一种可靠的新预测方法。
위험증AHP-TOPSIS 평판모형예측암폭적가행성，의거층차분석법(AHP)여핍근이상해배서법(TOPSIS)적기본이론건립출암폭예측평판모형，종암성조건、응력조건여위암조건3개방면선취암폭발생적평판지표，재근거평판지표적림계치구건출암폭등급판단준칙，병통과AHP법객관학정각평판지표적권중향량，진이결합TOPSIS법분석첩근도병계산득출암폭예측등급。실례응용득출，기우AHP-TOPSIS평판모형적암폭예측결과여실제결과상문합，동시여모호수학적평판결과기본상부。해방법교전면지고필료암폭발생적다충영향인소，피면료단일판거적국한성，병대각충인소적중요성진행대비분석，사예측결과경위과학，가작위암폭예측적이론의거，동시가위암폭재해예측제공일충가고적신예측방법。
A comprehensive model of evaluating the prediction of rockburst was established based on the analytic hierarchy process(AHP) and the technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution(TOPSIS). The indices of evaluation of rockburst were selected from lithological,stress and rock conditions. The criterion of rockburst level was constructed according to the critical values of evaluation indices. The weight matrix of the evaluation indices was determined objectively according to the AHP and the degree of closeness was analyzed with the TOPSIS,as such the prediction level of rockburst was determined. The results of a case study show that the predicted results of rockburst based on the evaluation model of AHP-TOPSIS are consistent with the actual measured results and agree well with the outcomes from the method of fuzzy mathematics. The proposed method considers various inducing factors of rockburst and avoids the limitation of a single criterion. The importances of various factors are compared to make the predicted results more sensible.