华北科技学院学报
華北科技學院學報
화북과기학원학보
JOURNAL OF NORTH CHINA INSTITUTE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
2014年
7期
37-40
,共4页
大气降水%矿井涌水量%预测
大氣降水%礦井湧水量%預測
대기강수%광정용수량%예측
atmospheric precipitation%water yield of mine%prediction
矿井涌水量是影响煤矿安全生产的主要因素之一，它直接影响到矿井水文地质条件的复杂程度，关系到对矿床的经济技术评价，因此有效的矿井涌水量预测成为了矿井安全生产的重要因素。为了更有效地预测矿井涌水量，针对降水充水类型的矿井以古书院矿为例，通过分析近五年降水量和涌水量资料，利用回归分析法推导出二者定量关系式，并对近20年的降水量采用水文频率分析法分析得出平水年、丰水年的平均降水量，以此作为因变量，根据推导出的降水量和涌水量函数关系式，分别预测矿井的正常涌水量和最大涌水量，达到有效预测的目的。
礦井湧水量是影響煤礦安全生產的主要因素之一，它直接影響到礦井水文地質條件的複雜程度，關繫到對礦床的經濟技術評價，因此有效的礦井湧水量預測成為瞭礦井安全生產的重要因素。為瞭更有效地預測礦井湧水量，針對降水充水類型的礦井以古書院礦為例，通過分析近五年降水量和湧水量資料，利用迴歸分析法推導齣二者定量關繫式，併對近20年的降水量採用水文頻率分析法分析得齣平水年、豐水年的平均降水量，以此作為因變量，根據推導齣的降水量和湧水量函數關繫式，分彆預測礦井的正常湧水量和最大湧水量，達到有效預測的目的。
광정용수량시영향매광안전생산적주요인소지일，타직접영향도광정수문지질조건적복잡정도，관계도대광상적경제기술평개，인차유효적광정용수량예측성위료광정안전생산적중요인소。위료경유효지예측광정용수량，침대강수충수류형적광정이고서원광위례，통과분석근오년강수량화용수량자료，이용회귀분석법추도출이자정량관계식，병대근20년적강수량채용수문빈솔분석법분석득출평수년、봉수년적평균강수량，이차작위인변량，근거추도출적강수량화용수량함수관계식，분별예측광정적정상용수량화최대용수량，체도유효예측적목적。
Mine discharge is one of the main factors affecting the safety production of coal mine.It directly af-fects the complexity of mine hydrogeology conditions , and concerns the economic and technical evaluation of ore deposit, so the effective prediction of water yield of mine has become the priority in mine safety produc-tion.In order to effectively predict the water yield of mine, for the type of precipitation water-filled mine with the example of Gushuyuan Coal Mine,through the analysis of its rainfall and discharge data in recent 5 years, the quantitative relationship was derived using regression analysis.The average annual rainfall in the normal flow and high flow years was obtained through the hydrological frequency analysis of the rainfall in recent 20 years.Taking the average annual rainfall as the dependent variable and based on the inferred function relation-ship between precipitation and water inflow, the normal water inflow and the largest water inflow were predic-ted to achieve the purpose of effective forecasting.
