气象
氣象
기상
METEOROLOGICAL MONTHLY
2014年
4期
440-449
,共10页
白莹莹%张焱%李强%李永华%雷婷
白瑩瑩%張焱%李彊%李永華%雷婷
백형형%장염%리강%리영화%뢰정
四川盆地%夏季降水%区域差异%东亚夏季风%高原夏季风
四川盆地%夏季降水%區域差異%東亞夏季風%高原夏季風
사천분지%하계강수%구역차이%동아하계풍%고원하계풍
Sichuan Basin%summer rainfall%regional differences%East Asian summer monsoon%plateau summer monsoon
基于四川盆地逐日气象观测资料、NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,分析了近46年四川盆地夏季降水变化的区域差异及其与东亚夏季风和高原夏季风的联系。结果表明:盆西和盆东夏季降水序列与全国夏季降水的相关分布分别与我国夏季降水第Ⅰ、Ⅱ类雨型分布相类似。使用一元回归方法,分别得到了与东亚夏季风和高原夏季风相关的环流场,通过对两个环流场季风指数高低值年份的合成分析发现,东亚夏季风的影响主要体现在西北气流和东南气流的辐合带在我国东部地区位置变动以及强度变化;高原夏季风对环流场的影响体现在华北到河套地区一带风向的转换。着重分析了1961和1998年夏季与东亚、高原夏季风相关的环流场,发现东亚夏季风与高原夏季风都对四川盆地夏季降水有重要影响,其中盆西夏季降水主要与高原夏季风有关,盆东夏季降水与东亚夏季风和高原夏季风都有关,但以东亚夏季风为主。
基于四川盆地逐日氣象觀測資料、NCEP/NCAR再分析資料,分析瞭近46年四川盆地夏季降水變化的區域差異及其與東亞夏季風和高原夏季風的聯繫。結果錶明:盆西和盆東夏季降水序列與全國夏季降水的相關分佈分彆與我國夏季降水第Ⅰ、Ⅱ類雨型分佈相類似。使用一元迴歸方法,分彆得到瞭與東亞夏季風和高原夏季風相關的環流場,通過對兩箇環流場季風指數高低值年份的閤成分析髮現,東亞夏季風的影響主要體現在西北氣流和東南氣流的輻閤帶在我國東部地區位置變動以及彊度變化;高原夏季風對環流場的影響體現在華北到河套地區一帶風嚮的轉換。著重分析瞭1961和1998年夏季與東亞、高原夏季風相關的環流場,髮現東亞夏季風與高原夏季風都對四川盆地夏季降水有重要影響,其中盆西夏季降水主要與高原夏季風有關,盆東夏季降水與東亞夏季風和高原夏季風都有關,但以東亞夏季風為主。
기우사천분지축일기상관측자료、NCEP/NCAR재분석자료,분석료근46년사천분지하계강수변화적구역차이급기여동아하계풍화고원하계풍적련계。결과표명:분서화분동하계강수서렬여전국하계강수적상관분포분별여아국하계강수제Ⅰ、Ⅱ류우형분포상유사。사용일원회귀방법,분별득도료여동아하계풍화고원하계풍상관적배류장,통과대량개배류장계풍지수고저치년빈적합성분석발현,동아하계풍적영향주요체현재서북기류화동남기류적복합대재아국동부지구위치변동이급강도변화;고원하계풍대배류장적영향체현재화북도하투지구일대풍향적전환。착중분석료1961화1998년하계여동아、고원하계풍상관적배류장,발현동아하계풍여고원하계풍도대사천분지하계강수유중요영향,기중분서하계강수주요여고원하계풍유관,분동하계강수여동아하계풍화고원하계풍도유관,단이동아하계풍위주。
Daily meteorological data of Sichuan Basin and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data are employed to di-agnose the influences of East Asian and plateau summer monsoon on the summer rainfall of Sichuan Basin. The results show that the summer rainfall series of the western and eastern basin and the correlation distri-bution of summer rainfall over the whole China have similar distribution with the rain pattern Ⅰand Ⅱre-spectively.To further understand the effect of East Asian and plateau summer monsoon on the rainfall of the basin,regressive analysis is performed.First the circulation field related to East Asian summer mon-soon is obtained,then after the part of East Asian summer monsoon is removed from the circulation field using the regression method,the circulation field related to plateau summer monsoon is yielded,which is statistically independent of East Asian summer monsoon.Using the 1961 and 1998 circulation fields as ex-amples to analyze the influences of East Asian and plateau summer monsoon,it is found that both East A-sian summer monsoon and plateau summer monsoon have important influences on the rainfall of Sichuan Basin,of which the rainfall of western part is mainly related to plateau monsoon,and the summer rainfall of eastern part mainly is related to both East Asian and plateau summer monsoon,but East Asian monsoon is predominant.