CAJ | 학술논문

文章通过对影响船舶吃水的主要因素，如船舶对波浪的响应、横倾引起的吃水变化、浅水中船舶的下坐以及航道底部等的分布规律的研究，拟合出其概率密度函数，然后使用蒙特卡洛（Monte Carlo）仿真船舶搁浅概率，其中船舶对波浪的响应采用了先进的粘性流数值计算方法。该模型可为受限水域航道建设和船舶安全通航提供参考。
문장통과대영향선박흘수적주요인소，여선박대파랑적향응、횡경인기적흘수변화、천수중선박적하좌이급항도저부등적분포규률적연구，의합출기개솔밀도함수，연후사용몽특잡락（Monte Carlo）방진선박각천개솔，기중선박대파랑적향응채용료선진적점성류수치계산방법。해모형가위수한수역항도건설화선박안전통항제공삼고。
In this paper, a deterministic model of ship under keel clearance is presented, which contains a set of random variables caused by ship maneuvering, including the vertical motion induced by wave, the heel during ship turning, the squat in sallow water and hydrographic data of seabed. They are represented by cer-tain distributions, and the ship basic response to typical wave is predicted by a CFD method. Via Monte Car-lo simulation, the stochastic uncertainty of a ship under keel clearance is observed, and the grounding prob-ability can support channel construction and vessel traffic safety analysis in restricted waterways.