中国机械工程
中國機械工程
중국궤계공정
CHINA MECHANICAl ENGINEERING
2014年
10期
1317-1323,1324
,共8页
阮渊鹏%何桢%张旭涛%张驰
阮淵鵬%何楨%張旭濤%張馳
원연붕%하정%장욱도%장치
复杂可修系统%选择性失效传播%元胞自动机%蒙特卡洛模拟
複雜可脩繫統%選擇性失效傳播%元胞自動機%矇特卡洛模擬
복잡가수계통%선택성실효전파%원포자동궤%몽특잡락모의
complex repairable system%propagated failure having selective effect%cellular automa-ta%Monte Carlo simulation
鉴于传统方法在处理存在由部件选择性失效传播引起的共因失效的复杂可修系统可靠性与可用性评估问题时的缺陷,提出一种基于元胞自动机思想的蒙特卡洛模拟方法用以评估存在共因失效的复杂可修系统的可靠性。该方法首先将系统转化成二终端网络,然后基于问题的基本假设去模拟不同时刻下网络各边对应的状态值,利用元胞自动机并行搜索的优势判断每次模拟过程中不同时刻下网络的连通性,从而推导出计算系统可靠性、瞬时可用性、区间可用性、系统平均维修时间以及系统单位时间平均维修次数的具体算法。最后,通过算例对算法进行了说明。
鑒于傳統方法在處理存在由部件選擇性失效傳播引起的共因失效的複雜可脩繫統可靠性與可用性評估問題時的缺陷,提齣一種基于元胞自動機思想的矇特卡洛模擬方法用以評估存在共因失效的複雜可脩繫統的可靠性。該方法首先將繫統轉化成二終耑網絡,然後基于問題的基本假設去模擬不同時刻下網絡各邊對應的狀態值,利用元胞自動機併行搜索的優勢判斷每次模擬過程中不同時刻下網絡的連通性,從而推導齣計算繫統可靠性、瞬時可用性、區間可用性、繫統平均維脩時間以及繫統單位時間平均維脩次數的具體算法。最後,通過算例對算法進行瞭說明。
감우전통방법재처리존재유부건선택성실효전파인기적공인실효적복잡가수계통가고성여가용성평고문제시적결함,제출일충기우원포자동궤사상적몽특잡락모의방법용이평고존재공인실효적복잡가수계통적가고성。해방법수선장계통전화성이종단망락,연후기우문제적기본가설거모의불동시각하망락각변대응적상태치,이용원포자동궤병행수색적우세판단매차모의과정중불동시각하망락적련통성,종이추도출계산계통가고성、순시가용성、구간가용성、계통평균유수시간이급계통단위시간평균유수차수적구체산법。최후,통과산례대산법진행료설명。
Because of the drawbacks of traditional algorithms when dealing with the problems of evaluating the reliability and availability of complex repairable system containing components with propagated failures having selective effect,a Monte Carlo simulation algorithm was presented based on the idea of cellular automata.The proposed algorithm converted the system into a two-terminal net-work,then,simulated the states of each arc of the network at different times based on basic assump-tions of problems.The algorithm ascertained the connectivity of the network at different times in ever-y iteration using cellular automata which had the advantages of parallel searching.The specific algo-rithms of computing reliability,instantaneous availability,interval availability,mean downtime and mean maintenance frequency per unit time of the system were proposed.Finally,an example was given to illustrate how the algorithms were applied.