CAJ | 학술논문

通过采用1993-2012年的贸易数据，借鉴Schumacher （2003）提出的贸易引力模型，对中国和德国双边贸易中的本地市场效应进行了实证分析。检验结果显示，在SITC一位数10类产品中有5类存在本地市场效应，而SITC两位数35类工业制造业产品中有16类产品存在本地市场效应。随着中德双边贸易的不断发展，本地市场效应已成为影响中德双边贸易模式的重要因素之一。因此，中国政府应当努力培育健全的国内消费市场，加快完善社会保障制度，发挥好本地市场效应对中国对外贸易稳定持续发展的推动作用。
통과채용1993-2012년적무역수거，차감Schumacher （2003）제출적무역인력모형，대중국화덕국쌍변무역중적본지시장효응진행료실증분석。검험결과현시，재SITC일위수10류산품중유5류존재본지시장효응，이SITC량위수35류공업제조업산품중유16류산품존재본지시장효응。수착중덕쌍변무역적불단발전，본지시장효응이성위영향중덕쌍변무역모식적중요인소지일。인차，중국정부응당노력배육건전적국내소비시장，가쾌완선사회보장제도，발휘호본지시장효응대중국대외무역은정지속발전적추동작용。
This paper examines the presence of the home market effect in Sino-Germany bilateral trade by utili-zing the gravity model framework proposed by Schumacher (2003)to evaluate longitudinal UN trade data from 1993 to 2012.The empirical results demonstrate that the home market effect has become one of the key determinants of the Sino -Germany bilateral trade pattern.Out of ten single -digit Standard International Trade Classification (SITC)categories,the local market effect was observed in five product categories.Out of the thirty-five two-digit SITC subcategories,the same effect was present in 16 instances.Given the prevalence of the home market effect,Chinese government should pay attention to the maturation of the domestic consumption market,improve the social security system,and to promote the development of international trade.