CAJ | 학술논문

为了给河北棉花产业的可持续发展提供参考，通过实地问卷方式对河北省中南部棉花主产区的南宫、威县、景县、冀州4县（市）的400户棉农进行调查，并采用多元线性回归分析农民专业合作组织对河北省棉农收入的影响。结果表明：1）在农户基本特征变量和棉农种植情况变量中，文化程度、种植规模、每hm2总成本、农户是否参加合作组织对棉农收入的影响达显著水平，性别和家庭人口对棉农收入的影响不显著。2）在合作组织提供的服务项目变量中，生产资料供应和病虫害防治服务功能对棉农收入的影响达极显著，即在其他条件不变的情况下，农户通过合作组织每购买1000元生产资料，其收入相应增加78元；每增加1次服务，棉农的收入增加69元。
위료급하북면화산업적가지속발전제공삼고，통과실지문권방식대하북성중남부면화주산구적남궁、위현、경현、기주4현（시）적400호면농진행조사，병채용다원선성회귀분석농민전업합작조직대하북성면농수입적영향。결과표명：1）재농호기본특정변량화면농충식정황변량중，문화정도、충식규모、매hm2총성본、농호시부삼가합작조직대면농수입적영향체현저수평，성별화가정인구대면농수입적영향불현저。2）재합작조직제공적복무항목변량중，생산자료공응화병충해방치복무공능대면농수입적영향체겁현저，즉재기타조건불변적정황하，농호통과합작조직매구매1000원생산자료，기수입상응증가78원；매증가1차복무，면농적수입증가69원。
The effect of farmer’s specialized cooperative organization on income of cotton growers was analyzed by the multiple linear regression model based on the data of questionnaire survey from 400 growers,10 villages of Nangong,Wei,Jing and Ji counties in South Central Hebei to provide a reference for sustainable development of cotton industry in Hebei.Cultural degree,planting scale,total cost/hm2 and farmers whether to participate in cooperation organization had the significant effect on income of cotton growers but gender and family members had no significant effect on income of cotton growers in variables of farmers'basic characteristics and planting condition.Supply of productive means and pest control had very significant effect on income of cotton growers in variable of service item,which indicates that the grower’s income can be increased by 78 Yuan and 69 Yuan by purchasing 1000 Yuan productive means and each service from specialized cooperative organization respectively without any changes of other conditions.