北京大学学报(医学版)
北京大學學報(醫學版)
북경대학학보(의학판)
JOURNAL OF BEIJING MEDICAL UNIVERSITY(HEALTH SCIENCES)
2014年
3期
424-428
,共5页
王品泽%刘民%代小秋%杨雪松%海山卡德尔拜%李晓光%沈励%汪整辉%吴华%胥婕%宁永忠
王品澤%劉民%代小鞦%楊雪鬆%海山卡德爾拜%李曉光%瀋勵%汪整輝%吳華%胥婕%寧永忠
왕품택%류민%대소추%양설송%해산잡덕이배%리효광%침려%왕정휘%오화%서첩%저영충
门诊病人%腹泻%人群监测%预警控制图
門診病人%腹瀉%人群鑑測%預警控製圖
문진병인%복사%인군감측%예경공제도
Outpatients%Diarrhea%Population surveillance%Early warning control chart
目的:根据北京市某肠道门诊就诊患者的腹泻监测数据,建立预警控制图,为腹泻病防控提供早期预警。方法:收集北京市某三级综合医院肠道门诊2009年(2009-04-01至2009-10-31)和2010年(2010-05-01至2010-11-10)开诊期间就诊患者的病历监测资料,根据移动平均法,计算发病基线,确定概率界值α和μα,利用公式w=Xj +μαSj计算预警值,绘制预警控制图。结果:根据疾病的危害性、严重性和可控制等特点,确定概率α为0.01,则μα(单侧)为2,计算各预警值,依次得出了该肠道门诊腹泻病、细菌性痢疾和其他感染性腹泻的预警控制图。结论:该肠道门诊的腹泻预警控制图需要进一步收集基线数据加以评价和不断调整,以得出符合该肠道门诊的最佳预警模型。
目的:根據北京市某腸道門診就診患者的腹瀉鑑測數據,建立預警控製圖,為腹瀉病防控提供早期預警。方法:收集北京市某三級綜閤醫院腸道門診2009年(2009-04-01至2009-10-31)和2010年(2010-05-01至2010-11-10)開診期間就診患者的病歷鑑測資料,根據移動平均法,計算髮病基線,確定概率界值α和μα,利用公式w=Xj +μαSj計算預警值,繪製預警控製圖。結果:根據疾病的危害性、嚴重性和可控製等特點,確定概率α為0.01,則μα(單側)為2,計算各預警值,依次得齣瞭該腸道門診腹瀉病、細菌性痢疾和其他感染性腹瀉的預警控製圖。結論:該腸道門診的腹瀉預警控製圖需要進一步收集基線數據加以評價和不斷調整,以得齣符閤該腸道門診的最佳預警模型。
목적:근거북경시모장도문진취진환자적복사감측수거,건립예경공제도,위복사병방공제공조기예경。방법:수집북경시모삼급종합의원장도문진2009년(2009-04-01지2009-10-31)화2010년(2010-05-01지2010-11-10)개진기간취진환자적병력감측자료,근거이동평균법,계산발병기선,학정개솔계치α화μα,이용공식w=Xj +μαSj계산예경치,회제예경공제도。결과:근거질병적위해성、엄중성화가공제등특점,학정개솔α위0.01,칙μα(단측)위2,계산각예경치,의차득출료해장도문진복사병、세균성이질화기타감염성복사적예경공제도。결론:해장도문진적복사예경공제도수요진일보수집기선수거가이평개화불단조정,이득출부합해장도문진적최가예경모형。
Objective:To establish the control charts for early warning of diarrhea based on the syn-dromic surveillance data from enteric clinic in Beijing .Methods:The outpatient data from enteric clinic of a Grade Three General hospital in Haidian district , Beijing from April 1 to Oct.31, 2009 and from May 1 to Nov.10, 2010 were collected, according to the moving average method , the baseline calcula-ted, the value of probability αand μα, the early warning value based on the formula “w=Xj +μαSj”calculated and the early warning control charts drew at last .Results:According to the harmfulness , the severity and controllability of diarrheal diseases , the value of probability αwas determined as 0.01, thenμα( unilateral) as 2, based on the early warning value , the control charts of diarrheal diseases , bacillary dysentery and other infectious diarrhea were established .Conclusion:The enteric clinic requires to fur-ther collect baseline data to evaluate and continuously adjust the established control charts for the best early warning model in accordance with the enteric clinic .