CAJ | 학술논문

为进一步揭示热带太平洋海气系统要素场之间的非线性相关特征，基于 Hadley 提供的海温场资料和美国国家环境预报中心(NCEP)和美国国家大气研究中心(NCAR)提供的海面风场和海面气压场资料，采用经验正交(EOF)分解和非线性典型相关分析法(NLCCA)，分析了海温、海面风场和海面气压场三要素场之间的非线性相关性。结果表明，西太平洋暖池的异常暖状态和热带太平洋的西风异常与 ENSO 的非线性之间存在着密切关联。进一步引入奇异值分解方法(SVD)，将其与 NLCCA 方法相结合，分析了热带太平洋海温场与海面风场、海面气压场耦合变化的关键影响区及其异性相关的分布特征。分析表明，热带太平洋西风异常和西太副高与ENSO循环之间存在较好的相关性。具体表现在：海温在中东太平洋地区出现异常增暖时，有助于加强东南亚地区的对流发展，促使东南亚地区季风的提前爆发；而东北太平洋副热带高压强度变化对北太平洋中部Nam ias海区海温距平的东西向振荡具有重要作用。研究为ENSO循环的非线性特性提供了有力的证明，也为ENSO的预测研究奠定了相关基础。
위진일보게시열대태평양해기계통요소장지간적비선성상관특정，기우 Hadley 제공적해온장자료화미국국가배경예보중심(NCEP)화미국국가대기연구중심(NCAR)제공적해면풍장화해면기압장자료，채용경험정교(EOF)분해화비선성전형상관분석법(NLCCA)，분석료해온、해면풍장화해면기압장삼요소장지간적비선성상관성。결과표명，서태평양난지적이상난상태화열대태평양적서풍이상여 ENSO 적비선성지간존재착밀절관련。진일보인입기이치분해방법(SVD)，장기여 NLCCA 방법상결합，분석료열대태평양해온장여해면풍장、해면기압장우합변화적관건영향구급기이성상관적분포특정。분석표명，열대태평양서풍이상화서태부고여ENSO순배지간존재교호적상관성。구체표현재：해온재중동태평양지구출현이상증난시，유조우가강동남아지구적대류발전，촉사동남아지구계풍적제전폭발；이동북태평양부열대고압강도변화대북태평양중부Nam ias해구해온거평적동서향진탕구유중요작용。연구위ENSO순배적비선성특성제공료유력적증명，야위ENSO적예측연구전정료상관기출。
The goal of this study is to further explore the nonlinear correlation characteristics between variables in the tropical Pacific ocean-atmosphere system. The data used include the sea surface temperature (SST) data provided by the Hadley Center, and the sea surface wind field and sea level pressure data provided by the U.S. National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). The empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis and the nonlinear canonical correlative analysis (NLCCA) are used to analyze nonlinear correlations among SST, sea surface wind and sea level pressure. The results show that the Pacific warm pool in the abnormal warming state and the westerly wind anomalies in the tropical western Pacific are two foreboding conditions of ENSO events. Using the singular value decomposition (SVD) method, combined with the NLCCA method, the area affected by coupling and the distribution characteristics of the anisotropic relationship of SST, sea surface wind and sea level pressure in the tropical Pacific Ocean are also analyzed. The results show good correlations exist among the tropical Pacific westerly anomaly, the western Pacific subtropical high and ENSO cycle.