物流技术
物流技術
물류기술
LOGISTICS TECHNOLOGY
2014年
3期
226-228
,共3页
组合预测模型%物流需求%需求预测
組閤預測模型%物流需求%需求預測
조합예측모형%물류수구%수구예측
combinatorial forecasting model%logistics demand%demand forecasting
以回归预测、灰色理论预测和简单组合预测3种预测方法为基础，引入三种预测相结合的组合预测模型，并以浙江省农副产品出口贸易的物流需求为例，对我国区域物流需求的发展进行预测。实证结果表明，浙江省农副产品的贸易具有强劲的增势，其物流需求具有很大的市场空间。
以迴歸預測、灰色理論預測和簡單組閤預測3種預測方法為基礎，引入三種預測相結閤的組閤預測模型，併以浙江省農副產品齣口貿易的物流需求為例，對我國區域物流需求的髮展進行預測。實證結果錶明，浙江省農副產品的貿易具有彊勁的增勢，其物流需求具有很大的市場空間。
이회귀예측、회색이론예측화간단조합예측3충예측방법위기출，인입삼충예측상결합적조합예측모형，병이절강성농부산품출구무역적물류수구위례，대아국구역물류수구적발전진행예측。실증결과표명，절강성농부산품적무역구유강경적증세，기물류수구구유흔대적시장공간。
In this paper, on the basis of the three forecasting methods, we introduced the combinatorial forecasting model that incorporated the three and then, in the case of the logistics demand in the export trade of the agricultural and sideline products of Zhejiang as the example, carried out a forecasting of the development of the regional logistics industry in China. The result showed that the agricultural and sideline product trade of Zhejiang was growing vigorously and the logistics demand of the market had great room to expand into.
