CAJ | 학술논문

近年来,由于国内外经济环境的日益复杂,生猪价格波动也变得更加难以控制。本文选取山东省2000—2011年生猪月度价格,首先运用HP滤波法对生猪价格波动划分了三个周期;然后分别从生猪生产成本、生产方式和生产者预期三方面分析了山东省生猪价格波动的影响因素,最后结合山东省生猪价格波动规律和影响因素提出了稳定生猪价格波动的对策建议。
근년래,유우국내외경제배경적일익복잡,생저개격파동야변득경가난이공제。본문선취산동성2000—2011년생저월도개격,수선운용HP려파법대생저개격파동화분료삼개주기;연후분별종생저생산성본、생산방식화생산자예기삼방면분석료산동성생저개격파동적영향인소,최후결합산동성생저개격파동규률화영향인소제출료은정생저개격파동적대책건의。
In recent years,due to the increasingly complex economic environment at home and abroad,the live pig price fluctuation is also becoming more difficult to control.Selecting the monthly price of live pig from 2000 to 2011,The paper is firstly dividing into three fluctuation circles by using the HP method,then analyses live pig price influencing factors from the live pig production costs,mode of production and the producer＇s expectation,finally The suggestions for stabilizing the live pig price are given unifies the Shandong province live pig price fluctuation and influence factors.