CAJ | 학술논문

文章用灰色关联分析方法对呼和浩特市1999—2009年的月气象资料和同期火灾资料进行了分析,得到月平均温度、月平均相对湿度、月总降水量、月无降水日数、月平均风速与月火灾次数的关联度及其强弱顺序,其中月平均风速关联度为0.657,在强弱顺序中排在第一位,其次分别为月无降水日数和月平均温度。为进一步研究城市火灾受气象条件的影响和建立城市火险潜势预报模型提供基础依据。
문장용회색관련분석방법대호화호특시1999—2009년적월기상자료화동기화재자료진행료분석,득도월평균온도、월평균상대습도、월총강수량、월무강수일수、월평균풍속여월화재차수적관련도급기강약순서,기중월평균풍속관련도위0.657,재강약순서중배재제일위,기차분별위월무강수일수화월평균온도。위진일보연구성시화재수기상조건적영향화건립성시화험잠세예보모형제공기출의거。
This article utilizes the gray relational analysis to analyze the relations of the lunar meteorological data for 11 years and the city fire data on the same date in Hohhot. We acquire the correlation which is the counts of the monthly city fire and the average monthly temperature, the average monthly relative humidity, the monthly precipitation, the average monthly wind speed and the num- ber of days without precipitation. In which, correlation degree about the average monthly wind speed is 0.657, it ranks firstly in order of strength and the posterior elements is the number of days without precipitation and the average monthly temperature. This article provides the basis for the further study on the city fire under the influence of meteorological conditions and establishing city fire potential forecasting models.