CAJ | 학술논문

文章利用我国1990-2009年居民人均消费支出PCS和社会保障支出PPS数据，采用协整检验和误差修正模型等计量技术，检验社会保障水平对于居民消费的影响。在计量分析的基础上，认为拉动居民消费需求的关键在于完善社会保障制度、实现国民收入水平的持续稳定增加，增强国民的消费信心；同时还要扩宽社会保障基金的筹资渠道，加快重大民生工程建设，改善人们的消费预期，引导和促进居民扩大消费需求。
문장이용아국1990-2009년거민인균소비지출PCS화사회보장지출PPS수거，채용협정검험화오차수정모형등계량기술，검험사회보장수평대우거민소비적영향。재계량분석적기출상，인위랍동거민소비수구적관건재우완선사회보장제도、실현국민수입수평적지속은정증가，증강국민적소비신심；동시환요확관사회보장기금적주자거도，가쾌중대민생공정건설，개선인문적소비예기，인도화촉진거민확대소비수구。
In this paper, using the 1990-2009 per capita consumption expenditure of PCS and social security expenditure PPS data, by the measurement techniques of cointegration tests and error correction model, tests the level of social security for the consumer. On the basis of quantitative analysis in this paper thinks that the key is to stimulate consumer demand to improve the social security system, to achieve sustained and steady increase of the level of national income, and enhance national consumer confidence; While expanding the finaneing channels of the Social Security Fund, to aceelerate the construction of a major livelihood projects to improve people＇s eonsumption is expected to guide and promote residents to expand consumer demand.