经济与管理
經濟與管理
경제여관리
ECONOMY AND MANAGEMENT
2014年
2期
5-12
,共8页
能源消费%碳排放%经济增长%政策建议
能源消費%碳排放%經濟增長%政策建議
능원소비%탄배방%경제증장%정책건의
Energy consumption%Carbon emissions%Economic growth%Policy suggestions
运用《2006年IPCC国家温室气体清单指南》中的碳排放核算方法[1]，测算2000-2011年京津冀二氧化碳排放量、排放强度、人均排放量和单位面积排放量，从变动趋势、消费结构、相关性和空间分布四个角度分析京津冀的能源消费、碳排放与经济增长。结果表明：京津冀能源消费量和碳排放量在12年间均呈增长趋势；碳排放强度均呈下降趋势；津冀的高排放主要是由以煤炭消费为主的能源结构和以高耗能工业为主的产业结构引起的。碳排放量与能源消费量和经济增长密切相关。在京津冀协同发展背景下，应大力调整产业结构，优化能源结构，建立碳汇合作机制。
運用《2006年IPCC國傢溫室氣體清單指南》中的碳排放覈算方法[1]，測算2000-2011年京津冀二氧化碳排放量、排放彊度、人均排放量和單位麵積排放量，從變動趨勢、消費結構、相關性和空間分佈四箇角度分析京津冀的能源消費、碳排放與經濟增長。結果錶明：京津冀能源消費量和碳排放量在12年間均呈增長趨勢；碳排放彊度均呈下降趨勢；津冀的高排放主要是由以煤炭消費為主的能源結構和以高耗能工業為主的產業結構引起的。碳排放量與能源消費量和經濟增長密切相關。在京津冀協同髮展揹景下，應大力調整產業結構，優化能源結構，建立碳彙閤作機製。
운용《2006년IPCC국가온실기체청단지남》중적탄배방핵산방법[1]，측산2000-2011년경진기이양화탄배방량、배방강도、인균배방량화단위면적배방량，종변동추세、소비결구、상관성화공간분포사개각도분석경진기적능원소비、탄배방여경제증장。결과표명：경진기능원소비량화탄배방량재12년간균정증장추세；탄배방강도균정하강추세；진기적고배방주요시유이매탄소비위주적능원결구화이고모능공업위주적산업결구인기적。탄배방량여능원소비량화경제증장밀절상관。재경진기협동발전배경하，응대력조정산업결구，우화능원결구，건립탄회합작궤제。
Based on the "2006 IPCC national greenhouse gas inventory guide" of carbon accounting methods, this paper calculated the carbon dioxide emissions, emissions intensity, per capita emissions and emissions per unit area of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei in 2000-2011, and analyzed energy consumption, carbon emissions and economic growth of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei from the perspectives of change trend, consumption structure, correlation and spatial distribution. The results show that Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei energy consumption and carbon emissions in 12 years show a growing trend; Carbon emission intensity decreased; High emission of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is mainly caused by the energy structure with coal consumption and mainly to the high energy consuming industries dominated the industrial structure. Carbon emissions and energy consumption and economic growth are closely related, collaborative development background in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, should adjust the industrial structure, optimizing energy structure, and establish carbon cooperation mechanism.
