CAJ | 학술논문

国内学术界对财政农业支出的最优规模的研究结论呈现较大的差异性,主要是受到统计口径、选用模型等差异的影响。文章结合山东省的财政农业支出、农业生产总值等相关经济数据,运用Ram的两部门生产模型构造目标方程,根据Hansen的门限回归模型对目标方程进行检验分析,得出山东省财政农业支出的最优规模,以期为山东省的社会主义新农村建设提供理论依据与经验借鉴。
국내학술계대재정농업지출적최우규모적연구결론정현교대적차이성,주요시수도통계구경、선용모형등차이적영향。문장결합산동성적재정농업지출、농업생산총치등상관경제수거,운용Ram적량부문생산모형구조목표방정,근거Hansen적문한회귀모형대목표방정진행검험분석,득출산동성재정농업지출적최우규모,이기위산동성적사회주의신농촌건설제공이론의거여경험차감。
There have been relatively large discrepancies among the research conclusions by domestic scholars about the optimal scale of fiscal expenditure on agriculture. The main reason is that they have been subjected to the influence of the different statistical calibers they have used and the different data models they have adopted. Based on the economic data of the fiscal expenditure on agriculture and the gross value of agricultural output, etc. of Shandong Province, this paper uses Ram＇ s two sector production model to construct a target equation, and then analyzes this target equation with Hansen＇ s threshold regression model, aiming to get the optimal scale of fiscal expenditure on agriculture in order to provide a theoretical basis and experience for Shandong Province＇ s construction of new socialist countryside.