CAJ | 학술논문

人口迁移流动是一种引致性变化,而区域经济的发展是导致人口流动的重要驱动力.本文以第五次人口普查数据为主要数据源,对五个民族自治区流动人口的规模、受教育程度进行对比分析;并运用灰色系统理论中灰色关联度研究流动人口与民族地区经济发展的相关性.结论显示,新疆、西藏的流动人口中自治区外迁入比重与自治区内迁入基本持平接近50%,而宁夏流动人口自治区内占比71%、内蒙古、广西流动人口自治区内占比则高达86%.就受教育程度而言,各自治区初中毕业流动人口的占比最高,均在30%以上,而初中以上受教育程度的流动人口占比平均达64%.灰色关联度分析表明民族自治区流动人口与民族区域经济发展具有极高的关联度,民族地区区域内人口流动对经济发展的贡献优于区域间人口流动.
인구천이류동시일충인치성변화,이구역경제적발전시도치인구류동적중요구동력.본문이제오차인구보사수거위주요수거원,대오개민족자치구류동인구적규모、수교육정도진행대비분석;병운용회색계통이론중회색관련도연구류동인구여민족지구경제발전적상관성.결론현시,신강、서장적류동인구중자치구외천입비중여자치구내천입기본지평접근50%,이저하류동인구자치구내점비71%、내몽고、엄서류동인구자치구내점비칙고체86%.취수교육정도이언,각자치구초중필업류동인구적점비최고,균재30%이상,이초중이상수교육정도적류동인구점비평균체64%.회색관련도분석표명민족자치구류동인구여민족구역경제발전구유겁고적관련도,민족지구구역내인구류동대경제발전적공헌우우구역간인구류동.
The development of region economy is the important driving force in floating population analy.sis. Using the fifth census data as the main data source, we analyze ethnic floating population scale, level of education in five autonomous regions; and study the relation about the floating population and economic development in national region correlation with the grey correlation degree. The esuhs showed the floating population proportion in Xinjiang, Tibet and the region of foreign immigration moved to flat, and the floating population in Ningxia accounted for 71%. The floating population in Guangxi, Inner Mongolia for 86%. On the level of education, junior high school graduates of the floating population accounted for more than 30% , senior high school for 64%. Gray correlation degree analysis showed that correlation between the flow of population and economic development in national regions was high. The contribution of population floating in the same minority area to economic development was higher than that between minority area.