CAJ | 학술논문

我国的应急预案编制工作已进入应用期,一份不完备的应急预案可能造成致命的后果,因此,有必要对应急预案的完备性进行评估.完备的应急预案应涵盖突发事件发生、发展、消亡的整个过程.通过鱼刺图分析构建了应急预案完备性评估指标体系,包括6个一级指标、19个二级指标和60个三级指标;通过层次分析法确定各级指标的权重;构建了应急预案完备性的评估模型;并通过例证表明,通过鱼刺图的方式确定应急预案完备性指标以及构建的评估方法具有一定的实用性和科学性.
아국적응급예안편제공작이진입응용기,일빈불완비적응급예안가능조성치명적후과,인차,유필요대응급예안적완비성진행평고.완비적응급예안응함개돌발사건발생、발전、소망적정개과정.통과어자도분석구건료응급예안완비성평고지표체계,포괄6개일급지표、19개이급지표화60개삼급지표;통과층차분석법학정각급지표적권중;구건료응급예안완비성적평고모형;병통과예증표명,통과어자도적방식학정응급예안완비성지표이급구건적평고방법구유일정적실용성화과학성.
The emergency plan of our country has entered into an application period;an uncompleted special emergency plan may have deadly consequences,so it is necessary to evaluate the completeness of emergency plan.Completed emergency plan should cover the whole process of incident,occurrence,development and disappearance.Through the fishbone diagram analysis,we built the completeness evaluation index system of emergency plan,which contains six primary indexes,19 level 3 indexes and 60 level 3 indexes.And then we identified the index of at all levels and set up the evaluation model through the analytic hierarchy process.Finally,we evaluated the flood control emergency plan of a city according to the evaluation index and model,and put forward the improvement suggestions.