CAJ | 학술논문

首先通过各产业生产总值及其构成、人均GDP、产业结构变动速度K值系数、比较劳动生产率、产业结构偏离度、区位熵、霍夫曼系数等经济指标,分析了武汉市产业结构的现状,接着建立数量经济模型并利用EViews软件研究了产业结构对经济增长的平稳性关系,然后结合DEA模型及MATLAB软件分析了各种因素的相对有效性.最后根据灰色GM（1,1）模型理论,通过MATLAB软件对2004年-2009年的生产总值进行拟合并预测未来5年的生产总值情况,进而对整个武汉市的产业结构和经济状况作了合理科学的分析,提出了优化产业结构及促进经济增长的建议.
수선통과각산업생산총치급기구성、인균GDP、산업결구변동속도K치계수、비교노동생산솔、산업결구편리도、구위적、곽부만계수등경제지표,분석료무한시산업결구적현상,접착건립수량경제모형병이용EViews연건연구료산업결구대경제증장적평은성관계,연후결합DEA모형급MATLAB연건분석료각충인소적상대유효성.최후근거회색GM（1,1）모형이론,통과MATLAB연건대2004년-2009년적생산총치진행의합병예측미래5년적생산총치정황,진이대정개무한시적산업결구화경제상황작료합이과학적분석,제출료우화산업결구급촉진경제증장적건의.
Firstly, the status of the industrial structure in Wuhan was analyzed based on the industry＇s GDP and its components, per capita GDP, changes in industrial structure, the speed coefficient K value, com- parative labor productivity, industrial structure deviation, location quotient, and Hoffman factor analysis of economic indicators. Secondly, the quantity economic model was established to study the stable rela- tionship between the industry structure and economic growth with the help of the EViews software. Thirdly, the relative effectiveness of various factors was analyzed with DEA models and MATLAB soft- ware. Thirdly, based on the GM （1,1） model theory, the MATLAB software was used to analyze the GDP for 2004-2009 so as to predict the future situation of the GDP in the following five years, and then the industrial structure and economic conditions in Wuhan were analyzed. Finally, suggestions to optimize the industrial structure and promote economic growth were proposed.