CAJ | 학술논문

国内外学者广泛采用015方法对我国居民消费与收入的关系进行了深刻的研究并取得了巨大的成就，但仍没有深入揭示不同收入阶层的居民收入对消费的影响，针对这方面的不足，运用分位数回归方法分别对我国农村和城镇居民的消费情况进行了建模分析。并与OLS回归结果进行了对比，对比结果表明分位数回归结果具有OLS无法达到的优点：可以对各个收入阶层分别进行回归估计，得出我国居民各收入阶层相应的边际消费倾像。分析结果与凯恩斯消费理论存在较大差异，农村边际消费随收入提高有上升趋势，城镇边际消费倾向随收入提高先上升后下降。
국내외학자엄범채용015방법대아국거민소비여수입적관계진행료심각적연구병취득료거대적성취，단잉몰유심입게시불동수입계층적거민수입대소비적영향，침대저방면적불족，운용분위수회귀방법분별대아국농촌화성진거민적소비정황진행료건모분석。병여OLS회귀결과진행료대비，대비결과표명분위수회귀결과구유OLS무법체도적우점：가이대각개수입계층분별진행회귀고계，득출아국거민각수입계층상응적변제소비경상。분석결과여개은사소비이론존재교대차이，농촌변제소비수수입제고유상승추세，성진변제소비경향수수입제고선상승후하강。
Domestic and foreign scholars widely used the method of OLS to rescarch the relationship of residents＇ con- snalption and income, which made great achievements. But it didn＇t reveal the ildluenee of consumption to residents＇ income deeply. According to this respect, this paper makes modeling analysis respectively by quantile regression method of nlrM and urban residents＇ constimption. And with the usual OLS regression, the resuhs were compared, which shows that lhe quantile regression results have the adw＇m- rages of OLS cannot reach： it can make regression estimation according to every income level and it can get corresponding MPC of Chinese residents income stratum. The analysis restilts are different from Keynes consumption themy, that is, the marginal of rural increases with the increase of income, town marginal propensity declines after the first increase with the increase of income. AccoMing to the resuhs of armlysis, tiffs paper analyzes the influence of different income to consumption of people with＇different income. At last, this paper proposes the pelicy suggestions of improving overall col：sumption level of Chinese residents.