技术经济
技術經濟
기술경제
Technical economy
2012年
4期
75-81
,共7页
经济增长%碳排放%阈值协整
經濟增長%碳排放%閾值協整
경제증장%탄배방%역치협정
economic growth%carbon emission%threshold cointegration
运用Hansen和Seo的两区制阈值协整理论,研究了1953—2010年中国经济增长与碳排放之间的关系及其关系的短期非线性调整。结果表明：经济增长与碳排放之间存在非线性协整关系;当两者的长期均衡关系出现短期偏离时,在正常区制中,主要依靠碳排放的调整使两者间关系恢复到长期均衡状态,在极端区制中,碳排放和经济增长都会向均衡状态做出调整,且碳排放的调整速度更快。
運用Hansen和Seo的兩區製閾值協整理論,研究瞭1953—2010年中國經濟增長與碳排放之間的關繫及其關繫的短期非線性調整。結果錶明：經濟增長與碳排放之間存在非線性協整關繫;噹兩者的長期均衡關繫齣現短期偏離時,在正常區製中,主要依靠碳排放的調整使兩者間關繫恢複到長期均衡狀態,在極耑區製中,碳排放和經濟增長都會嚮均衡狀態做齣調整,且碳排放的調整速度更快。
운용Hansen화Seo적량구제역치협정이론,연구료1953—2010년중국경제증장여탄배방지간적관계급기관계적단기비선성조정。결과표명：경제증장여탄배방지간존재비선성협정관계;당량자적장기균형관계출현단기편리시,재정상구제중,주요의고탄배방적조정사량자간관계회복도장기균형상태,재겁단구제중,탄배방화경제증장도회향균형상태주출조정,차탄배방적조정속도경쾌。
This paper applies the theory of two-regime threshold cointegration developed by Hansen and Seo to investigate the relationship between economic growth and carbon emission during 1953-2010 in China and its short-term nonlinear adjustment.The results show as follows：there exists a threshold co-integration relationship between economic growth and carbon emission;when the deviation from the long-run equilibrium between economic growth and carbon emission,short-run response is mainly executed by the adjustment of carbon emission in typical regime,while both economic growth and carbon emission are all moving toward long-term equilibrium in extreme regime,and the adjustment speed of carbon emission is faster than that of economic growth.
