CAJ | 학술논문

通过建立国内旅游收入、入境旅游外汇收入与GDP之间的经济计量模型,运用协整理论及格兰杰（Granger）因果检验,研究湖南省是否存在＂旅游主导＂经济,或者＂经济带动＂旅游业发展,并通过模型检验研究了湖南省国内旅游收入、入境旅游外汇收入对经济增长的贡献额度。研究结果表明：湖南省存在旅游主导经济增长,国内旅游收入对经济增长的贡献度较高于入境旅游外汇收入。经济增长对入境旅游业发展有显著影响,但对国内旅游发展影响较小。
통과건입국내여유수입、입경여유외회수입여GDP지간적경제계량모형,운용협정이론급격란걸（Granger）인과검험,연구호남성시부존재＂여유주도＂경제,혹자＂경제대동＂여유업발전,병통과모형검험연구료호남성국내여유수입、입경여유외회수입대경제증장적공헌액도。연구결과표명：호남성존재여유주도경제증장,국내여유수입대경제증장적공헌도교고우입경여유외회수입。경제증장대입경여유업발전유현저영향,단대국내여유발전영향교소。
By building econometric models among domestic tourism income, inbound tourism revenue and GDP, and using co-in tegration theory and Granger Causality Tests, this article tries to find out it ＂tourism-leading＂ economy or ＂economy-drive- tourism development＂ existed in Hunan Province. Then it studies the contribution of domestic tourism income and inbound tourism revenue to economy growth in Hunan Province by model checking. The results show that there is ＂tourism-leading＂ e conomy existed in Hunan Province. The contribution of domestic tourism income to economy growth is higher than inbound tourism revenue. Economy growth has a significant impact on inbound tourism hut less impact on domestic tourism.