CAJ | 학술논문

为了准确把握＂十二五＂水污染防治规划的方向,需要对已完成的规划进行回顾性评估。滇池流域历经＂九五＂、＂十五＂、＂十一五＂阶段的投资与治理,共计投入222.3亿元,水环境保护工作取得了一定的进展。本文对滇池流域规划投入的资金用途进行了归类,其中58%用于污染治理。通过径向基函数神经网络模拟,可见规划执行以及环保投资对滇池的BOD5,CODMn和Chla等水质指标具有一定的改善作用。此外,还分析了近年来滇池水质相对于昆明市的经济发展水平的相对变化趋势。最后,对规划的污染控制、生态修复、资源调配、技术示范、监督管理等方面进行了回顾性评估,并给出了改进建议。
위료준학파악＂십이오＂수오염방치규화적방향,수요대이완성적규화진행회고성평고。전지류역력경＂구오＂、＂십오＂、＂십일오＂계단적투자여치리,공계투입222.3억원,수배경보호공작취득료일정적진전。본문대전지류역규화투입적자금용도진행료귀류,기중58%용우오염치리。통과경향기함수신경망락모의,가견규화집행이급배보투자대전지적BOD5,CODMn화Chla등수질지표구유일정적개선작용。차외,환분석료근년래전지수질상대우곤명시적경제발전수평적상대변화추세。최후,대규화적오염공제、생태수복、자원조배、기술시범、감독관리등방면진행료회고성평고,병급출료개진건의。
In order to grasp the heading direction of the 12th five-year plan of water pollution control and treatment,a retrospective assessment for former plans is necessary.The Dianchi Lake Watershed had been manipulated and governed for from the 9th to the 11th five-year plan period（1996-2010）with total investment was 22.23 billion yuan.The aquatic environment has been improved with multiple means of investigations and treatments.This paper classified the capitals during the past fifteen years and concluded that about 58% of the capital was focused on pollution treatment projects.The water indicators changed in relation to the environmental investment is simulated through Radial Basis Function.The results show that the indicators of BOD5,CODMn and Chla are improved with the deepening of investigation.The relative effectiveness of the plans is analyzed compared with economic development of Kunming City.Finally,a conclusive retrospective assessment is applied in five classes：pollution control projects,ecological restoration,water resource transferring,technical demonstration,supervision and management.Some suggestions are also put forward.