CAJ | 학술논문

利用常规气象资料、卫星云图及数值预报产品等资料对2011年7月15—16日内蒙古通辽市出现的一次强对流降水天气过程进行了分析,结果表明,有利的大尺度环流、充沛的水汽条件、高空急流的存在、低空水汽的辐合、强的上升运动及不稳定能量的作用,是激发该次对流降水极为有利的因素。如果能通过对该次降水过程的总结,得出一些经验和指标,并应用于今后的预报工作当中,为今后的强对流降水预报提供参考依据,将会对提高预报准确率起到至关重要的作用。
이용상규기상자료、위성운도급수치예보산품등자료대2011년7월15—16일내몽고통료시출현적일차강대류강수천기과정진행료분석,결과표명,유리적대척도배류、충패적수기조건、고공급류적존재、저공수기적복합、강적상승운동급불은정능량적작용,시격발해차대류강수겁위유리적인소。여과능통과대해차강수과정적총결,득출일사경험화지표,병응용우금후적예보공작당중,위금후적강대류강수예보제공삼고의거,장회대제고예보준학솔기도지관중요적작용。
Based on conventional meteorological data, satellite images and numerical weather prediction products and other information, a strong convective precipitation processes appeared in Tongliao City on 15-16 July, 2011 was analyzed. Result showed that enabling large-scale circulation, abundant water vapor, the existence of high-altitude jet, low-altitude water vapor convergence, strong upward motion and unstable energy role were extremely favorable factors to stimulate the convective precipitation. If some experience and indicators are summaried based on the precipitation process and then are used in forecasting in the future, they would provide some reference for strong convective precipitation forecast and play an important role to improve forecast accuracy.