气象与环境学报
氣象與環境學報
기상여배경학보
JOURNAL OF METEOROLOGY AND ENVIRONMENT
2012年
1期
86-89
,共4页
陈成国%石慧兰%王桂兰%孙翠凤%杨礼厚
陳成國%石慧蘭%王桂蘭%孫翠鳳%楊禮厚
진성국%석혜란%왕계란%손취봉%양례후
地温%最小二乘法%倾向率
地溫%最小二乘法%傾嚮率
지온%최소이승법%경향솔
Ground temperature%Least square method%Tendency rate
在全球气候变暖的大背景下,研究大气下垫面的地表面温度及深层地温的变化,对工农业生产有重要意义。利用1961—2010年德州市0 cm地面温度,最高温度、地面最低温度4,0 cm和80 cm地温;1980—2010年160 cm和320 cm地温观测数据,采用最小二乘法,探讨了德州市地面及各深层地温的变化趋势特征。结果表明:地面温度及各深层地温均有增温趋势,明显增温主要出现在冬季,夏季多为降温。地面最低温度增温最显著,倾向率为0.47℃/10 a,冬季倾向率最大为0.74℃/10 a;地面最高温度增温最不显著,倾向率为0.15℃/10 a。0 cm地面温度变化倾向率为0.27℃/10 a,夏季降温为-0.04℃/10 a,冬季升温明显为0.51℃/10 a。40 cm和80 cm地温变化倾向率基本一致,明显小于地面温度升温幅度,也小于160 cm和320cm地温升温幅度。
在全毬氣候變暖的大揹景下,研究大氣下墊麵的地錶麵溫度及深層地溫的變化,對工農業生產有重要意義。利用1961—2010年德州市0 cm地麵溫度,最高溫度、地麵最低溫度4,0 cm和80 cm地溫;1980—2010年160 cm和320 cm地溫觀測數據,採用最小二乘法,探討瞭德州市地麵及各深層地溫的變化趨勢特徵。結果錶明:地麵溫度及各深層地溫均有增溫趨勢,明顯增溫主要齣現在鼕季,夏季多為降溫。地麵最低溫度增溫最顯著,傾嚮率為0.47℃/10 a,鼕季傾嚮率最大為0.74℃/10 a;地麵最高溫度增溫最不顯著,傾嚮率為0.15℃/10 a。0 cm地麵溫度變化傾嚮率為0.27℃/10 a,夏季降溫為-0.04℃/10 a,鼕季升溫明顯為0.51℃/10 a。40 cm和80 cm地溫變化傾嚮率基本一緻,明顯小于地麵溫度升溫幅度,也小于160 cm和320cm地溫升溫幅度。
재전구기후변난적대배경하,연구대기하점면적지표면온도급심층지온적변화,대공농업생산유중요의의。이용1961—2010년덕주시0 cm지면온도,최고온도、지면최저온도4,0 cm화80 cm지온;1980—2010년160 cm화320 cm지온관측수거,채용최소이승법,탐토료덕주시지면급각심층지온적변화추세특정。결과표명:지면온도급각심층지온균유증온추세,명현증온주요출현재동계,하계다위강온。지면최저온도증온최현저,경향솔위0.47℃/10 a,동계경향솔최대위0.74℃/10 a;지면최고온도증온최불현저,경향솔위0.15℃/10 a。0 cm지면온도변화경향솔위0.27℃/10 a,하계강온위-0.04℃/10 a,동계승온명현위0.51℃/10 a。40 cm화80 cm지온변화경향솔기본일치,명현소우지면온도승온폭도,야소우160 cm화320cm지온승온폭도。
Under the environment of global warming,it is important to study the variations of surface temperature and temperature in the different soil layers for the industrial and agricultural production.Based on the ground temperature and the maximum and minimum temperatures on 0 cm soil layer from 1961 to 2010,the ground temperature in 40 cm and 80 cm soil layers from 1961 to 2010,the ground temperature in 160 cm and 320 cm soil layers from 1980 to 2010,the variation trends of temperatures on the ground and in the different soil layers were analyzed with a least square method.The results indicate that temperatures on the ground and in the different soil layers are all in increasing trends.The significant warming appears in winter,while the decreasing trend of temperature is in summer.The increasing trend of the minimum temperature on the ground is the most significant and its ratio is 0.47 ℃/decade,and the maximum ratio is 0.74 ℃/decade in winter,while the increasing trend of the maximum temperature on the ground is not significant and its ratio is 0.15 ℃/decade.The increasing trend of temperature on 0 cm soil layer is 0.27 ℃/decade;the decreasing and increasing trends of temperature is-0.04 ℃/decade in summer and 0.51 ℃/decade in winter.The variation trends of temperature in 40 cm and 80 cm soil layers are consistent,while their warming amplitudes are lower than that of temperatures on the ground,and in160 cm and 320 cm soil layers.