铜仁学院学报
銅仁學院學報
동인학원학보
JOURNAL OF TONGREN UNIVERSITY
2012年
2期
102-105,143
,共5页
张克荣%刘武艺%时伟%陈德宇
張剋榮%劉武藝%時偉%陳德宇
장극영%류무예%시위%진덕우
皖北%科技投入%经济增长
皖北%科技投入%經濟增長
환북%과기투입%경제증장
Northern Anhui Province%Scientific Investment%Economy Development
分析了皖北地区科技投入与经济发展水平之间的关系。从误差修正模型的弹性系数看,科技投入对经济增长具有明显的推动作用,地区生产总值对科技投入的弹性系数为0.4022,即科技投入增长1%时,将带动皖北地区生产总值增长0.4022%,其推动效率为2827.4364。同时,皖北地区科技投入不仅以短期波动的形式影响地区国民生产总值的变化,长期均衡的作用也比较大,误差修正项的系数为-1.9922,说明皖北地区科技投入对经济增长的推动作用非常强。
分析瞭皖北地區科技投入與經濟髮展水平之間的關繫。從誤差脩正模型的彈性繫數看,科技投入對經濟增長具有明顯的推動作用,地區生產總值對科技投入的彈性繫數為0.4022,即科技投入增長1%時,將帶動皖北地區生產總值增長0.4022%,其推動效率為2827.4364。同時,皖北地區科技投入不僅以短期波動的形式影響地區國民生產總值的變化,長期均衡的作用也比較大,誤差脩正項的繫數為-1.9922,說明皖北地區科技投入對經濟增長的推動作用非常彊。
분석료환북지구과기투입여경제발전수평지간적관계。종오차수정모형적탄성계수간,과기투입대경제증장구유명현적추동작용,지구생산총치대과기투입적탄성계수위0.4022,즉과기투입증장1%시,장대동환북지구생산총치증장0.4022%,기추동효솔위2827.4364。동시,환북지구과기투입불부이단기파동적형식영향지구국민생산총치적변화,장기균형적작용야비교대,오차수정항적계수위-1.9922,설명환북지구과기투입대경제증장적추동작용비상강。
This study dealt with the relationship between scientific investments and the economy development in Northern Anhui Province. According to the analysis of VECM (Vector Error Correction Model), we found it was obvious that scientific investments booted largely the economy development of Northern Anhui Province, and the coefficient of elasticity was 0.4022 which meant the regional GDP would go up at the rate of 0.4022% with 1% increase of scientific investment. The result also showed that both the short- and long-run equilibriums shaded the regional GDP greatly and the coefficient of error correction term was -1.9922. The result suggested that scientific investments played key roles in the economy development of Northern Anhui Province.