CAJ | 학술논문

在整理全球反倾销案件的基础上,通过收集相关贸易数据,利用1998-2008年被诉反倾销案件为样本建立动态面板数据模型,实证分析了12个主要国家和地区被诉反倾销的贸易破坏效应和贸易转移效应,通过SYS-GMM估计进行回归估计得到稳健性结果。实证结果表明,反倾销措施对贸易额和出口市场份额的影响远大于关税措施的影响,成为多数国家限制进口、保护本国国内产业的主要贸易政策。反倾销对中国、日本、中国台湾和俄罗斯的负面影响较大。最后考察反倾销对产业竞争力的影响发现,反倾销申诉和反倾销措施对申诉方的产业竞争力有显著的提升作用,并且反倾销措施的影响远大于反倾销申诉的影响。
재정리전구반경소안건적기출상,통과수집상관무역수거,이용1998-2008년피소반경소안건위양본건립동태면판수거모형,실증분석료12개주요국가화지구피소반경소적무역파배효응화무역전이효응,통과SYS-GMM고계진행회귀고계득도은건성결과。실증결과표명,반경소조시대무역액화출구시장빈액적영향원대우관세조시적영향,성위다수국가한제진구、보호본국국내산업적주요무역정책。반경소대중국、일본、중국태만화아라사적부면영향교대。최후고찰반경소대산업경쟁력적영향발현,반경소신소화반경소조시대신소방적산업경쟁력유현저적제승작용,병차반경소조시적영향원대우반경소신소적영향。
Based on global antidumping cases and relevant trade data,then a dynamic panel data model is established to estimate the trade destructing effect and trade diversion effect of antidumping,using antidumping data during 1998-2008 through SYS-GMM.Empirical studies show that,the influence of antidumping method on trade value and market share are far larger than that of tariff,and antidumping measures becoming the major trade policy to limit import and protect local industries.China,Japan,Chinese Taipei and Russia are among the most influenced countries.At last,by estimating the effect of antidumping on industry competitiveness,it can be concluded that both antidumping initiation and antidumping method have positive effect on improving the industry competitiveness of the appealing country,while the influence on antidumping measures is much larger than initiation.