气象与环境学报
氣象與環境學報
기상여배경학보
JOURNAL OF METEOROLOGY AND ENVIRONMENT
2012年
5期
79-82
,共4页
代玉田%于凤英%常平%张琳%杨玉霞
代玉田%于鳳英%常平%張琳%楊玉霞
대옥전%우봉영%상평%장림%양옥하
高血压%气象条件%相关%逐步回归
高血壓%氣象條件%相關%逐步迴歸
고혈압%기상조건%상관%축보회귀
Hypertension%Meteorological condition%Correlation%Stepwise regression
采用1999—2008年德州市人民医院高血压发病人数入院资料和德州市地面气象资料,应用逐步回归方法,分别建立四季的高血压发病人数与气象条件及其变化的线性回归关系模型,借鉴生活气象指数、医疗气象学等研究方法,利用聚类分析法将德州市高血压病发病等级划分为4级,从而预测每个季节德州市高血压的发生程度。结果表明:德州市高血压发病与气压、气温关系密切;大雾主要对冬季高血压发病有影响,冬季出现大雾,尤其出现连续性大雾时,高血压发病等级增高,大雾对其他季节高血压发病影响较小;高血压发病等级与日照时数呈负相关。秋冬季连续阴天寡照,高血压发病等级增高。
採用1999—2008年德州市人民醫院高血壓髮病人數入院資料和德州市地麵氣象資料,應用逐步迴歸方法,分彆建立四季的高血壓髮病人數與氣象條件及其變化的線性迴歸關繫模型,藉鑒生活氣象指數、醫療氣象學等研究方法,利用聚類分析法將德州市高血壓病髮病等級劃分為4級,從而預測每箇季節德州市高血壓的髮生程度。結果錶明:德州市高血壓髮病與氣壓、氣溫關繫密切;大霧主要對鼕季高血壓髮病有影響,鼕季齣現大霧,尤其齣現連續性大霧時,高血壓髮病等級增高,大霧對其他季節高血壓髮病影響較小;高血壓髮病等級與日照時數呈負相關。鞦鼕季連續陰天寡照,高血壓髮病等級增高。
채용1999—2008년덕주시인민의원고혈압발병인수입원자료화덕주시지면기상자료,응용축보회귀방법,분별건립사계적고혈압발병인수여기상조건급기변화적선성회귀관계모형,차감생활기상지수、의료기상학등연구방법,이용취류분석법장덕주시고혈압병발병등급화분위4급,종이예측매개계절덕주시고혈압적발생정도。결과표명:덕주시고혈압발병여기압、기온관계밀절;대무주요대동계고혈압발병유영향,동계출현대무,우기출현련속성대무시,고혈압발병등급증고,대무대기타계절고혈압발병영향교소;고혈압발병등급여일조시수정부상관。추동계련속음천과조,고혈압발병등급증고。
Based on the hypertension disease data in the people′s hospital of Dezhou and the ground meteorological data from 1999 to 2008 in Dezhou,four liner models according to the relationships between the number of hypertension patients in four seasons and meteorological conditions were established by a step regression method.Considering the life meteorological index and the method of medical meteorology,the hypertension incidence was divided into 4 levels by a clustering analysis method.Accordingly,the incidence in the different seasons could be predicted.The results indicate that the hypertension incidence is related to air pressure and temperature.The heavy fog could influence the hypertension incidence in winter,while its impact is weak in other season.The level of hypertension incidence increases when the heavy fog occurs in winter,especially for continuous heavy fog weather.There is a negative correlation between the level of hypertension incidence and sunshine duration.The level of hypertension incidence increases because of consecutively cloudy weather and little sunshine duration in autumn and winter.