中国土地科学
中國土地科學
중국토지과학
HINA LAND SCIENCE
2012年
8期
74-79
,共6页
土地利用%农民分化%农地流转意愿%结构方程模型%影响
土地利用%農民分化%農地流轉意願%結構方程模型%影響
토지이용%농민분화%농지류전의원%결구방정모형%영향
land use%farmer differentiation%willingness of farmland transfer%structural equation model%impact
研究目的:分析农民分化对农地流转意愿的影响效应。研究方法:结构方程模型(SEM)。研究结果:(1)农民分化特征对农地流转意愿的影响在5%水平上显著,而且农民分化特征每提高一个单位,农户农地流转意愿就会增加0.634个单位;(2)在反映农民分化的三个可观测变量中,职业分化和经济分化程度每提高一个单位,农户进行农地流转的概率就会分别增加0.394和0.358个单位;(3)反映其他潜变量的可观测变量中,年龄、文化程度、是否具有非农就业技能、家庭农业劳动力人数、对农地产权稳定性的认知、流转地在养老保障中的作用和是否参加社会养老保障等变量对农地流转意愿具有显著影响效应。研究结论:农地流转政策要注意区分不同阶层农民特点,积极促进农民各阶层职业结构的合理化,逐步实现城乡一体化的社会保障制度,弱化土地的社会保障职能。
研究目的:分析農民分化對農地流轉意願的影響效應。研究方法:結構方程模型(SEM)。研究結果:(1)農民分化特徵對農地流轉意願的影響在5%水平上顯著,而且農民分化特徵每提高一箇單位,農戶農地流轉意願就會增加0.634箇單位;(2)在反映農民分化的三箇可觀測變量中,職業分化和經濟分化程度每提高一箇單位,農戶進行農地流轉的概率就會分彆增加0.394和0.358箇單位;(3)反映其他潛變量的可觀測變量中,年齡、文化程度、是否具有非農就業技能、傢庭農業勞動力人數、對農地產權穩定性的認知、流轉地在養老保障中的作用和是否參加社會養老保障等變量對農地流轉意願具有顯著影響效應。研究結論:農地流轉政策要註意區分不同階層農民特點,積極促進農民各階層職業結構的閤理化,逐步實現城鄉一體化的社會保障製度,弱化土地的社會保障職能。
연구목적:분석농민분화대농지류전의원적영향효응。연구방법:결구방정모형(SEM)。연구결과:(1)농민분화특정대농지류전의원적영향재5%수평상현저,이차농민분화특정매제고일개단위,농호농지류전의원취회증가0.634개단위;(2)재반영농민분화적삼개가관측변량중,직업분화화경제분화정도매제고일개단위,농호진행농지류전적개솔취회분별증가0.394화0.358개단위;(3)반영기타잠변량적가관측변량중,년령、문화정도、시부구유비농취업기능、가정농업노동력인수、대농지산권은정성적인지、류전지재양로보장중적작용화시부삼가사회양로보장등변량대농지류전의원구유현저영향효응。연구결론:농지류전정책요주의구분불동계층농민특점,적겁촉진농민각계층직업결구적합이화,축보실현성향일체화적사회보장제도,약화토지적사회보장직능。
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of farmer differentiation on farm household's willingness in transferring their farmland.The structural equation model is used.The results indicate that 1) features of farmer differentiation was significant at the level of 5%,and the marginal effect of farmer differentiation,i.e.,one unit higher,the probability of the willingness will increase 0.634 unit;2) the marginal effect of professional and economic differentiation are 0.394 and 0.358 unit respectively;3) among other observable variables,age,education,non-agricultural skill,numbers of agricultural labor,recognition for stability of farmland property rights,the role of farmland in providing social security,and whether participating in social pension are all significantly positive.It is concluded that the characteristics of different farmer stratums must be paid attention when the policy of farmland transfer is made.Meanwhile,we should actively promote the rationalization of farmers' professional structure and gradually build the urban-rural integrated social security system.