CAJ | 학술논문

通过选取3种不同的填埋气预测模型：IPCC模型、中国填埋气估算模型、德国模型,结合沈阳市老虎冲填埋场的实际情况,对各参数进行了修订,从而预测老虎冲填埋场填埋气产量情况,并分析比较各模型预测结果。结果表明,2003—2011年,3种模型反映了相同的填埋气变化趋势,趋于上升状态;2012—2025年,由于填埋量发生变化,IPCC模型与中国填埋气估算模型和德国模型的填埋气变化情况相反,呈下降趋势。3种模型预测的填埋气产量的峰值大小为：中国填埋气估算模型为3.3×107m3/a,IPCC模型为2.1×107m3/a,德国模型为9.8×106m3/a。根据实际产气情况进行对比,发现德国模型更符合实际情况。
통과선취3충불동적전매기예측모형：IPCC모형、중국전매기고산모형、덕국모형,결합침양시로호충전매장적실제정황,대각삼수진행료수정,종이예측로호충전매장전매기산량정황,병분석비교각모형예측결과。결과표명,2003—2011년,3충모형반영료상동적전매기변화추세,추우상승상태;2012—2025년,유우전매량발생변화,IPCC모형여중국전매기고산모형화덕국모형적전매기변화정황상반,정하강추세。3충모형예측적전매기산량적봉치대소위：중국전매기고산모형위3.3×107m3/a,IPCC모형위2.1×107m3/a,덕국모형위9.8×106m3/a。근거실제산기정황진행대비,발현덕국모형경부합실제정황。
The article selected three different kinds of landfill gas(LFG) generation models :IPCC model, LMOP China model and German model with the practical situation of Shenyang Laohuchong Landfill Site concerned and revised the parameters of these models to predict the situation of Shenyang Laohuchong LFG generation and analyze the results of these models. It shows that three models reflect the same change trend in ascendant condition from 2003 to 2011 ;but because of the quantity changing of landfill waste from 2012 to 2025, the change trend of LFG generation predicted with IPCC model appears in descendant condition, which is in contrast to that of LMOP China model and German model. The order of these models' peak value is : LMOP China model (3.3 × 10^7 m3/a)〉IPCC model (2.1 × 10^7 m3/a)〉German model (9.8 × 10^7 m3/a). Compared with the practical measurement, the German model is more conform to the actual situation.