CAJ | 학술논문

笔者以卢卡斯人力资本外溢模型为理论基础,以内蒙古自治区1978-2010年统计数据为依据,研究了内蒙古人力资本与经济增长之间的关系。实证分析显示,内蒙古人力资本的产出弹性较低,人力资本外溢效应显著程度较低。而相较于人力资本投入,经济增长对物质资本投入更为敏感;因内蒙古的科技教育较为落后,人力资本对经济增长的贡献率也比较低,物质资本仍是经济高速发展的主要拉动力。鉴于此,笔者提出了加大教育投资,优化教育结构,重视积累人力资本等建议。
필자이로잡사인력자본외일모형위이론기출,이내몽고자치구1978-2010년통계수거위의거,연구료내몽고인력자본여경제증장지간적관계。실증분석현시,내몽고인력자본적산출탄성교저,인력자본외일효응현저정도교저。이상교우인력자본투입,경제증장대물질자본투입경위민감;인내몽고적과기교육교위락후,인력자본대경제증장적공헌솔야비교저,물질자본잉시경제고속발전적주요랍동력。감우차,필자제출료가대교육투자,우화교육결구,중시적루인력자본등건의。
Based on the statistical data of Inner Mongolia from 1978--2010, the paper uses Lucas＇ hu- man capital model to analyze the relationship between Inner Mongolia human capital and its economic growth. The results show that the output elasticity of human capital is low, and there is no significant spillover effect. Economic growth is more sensitive to physical capital than to human capital. Moreover, because the education in Inner Mongolia is backward, the contribution rate of human capital to economic growth is low, and physical capital is still the main power of rapid economic development. Based on this, the paper suggests that the government should increase education investment, optimize the education structure and accelerate the accumulation of human capital.