CAJ | 학술논문

运用空间回归模型，选取中国大陆31个省份2003～2011年旅游外汇收入等相关面板数据指标，实证研究了我国入境旅游经济与接待人数之间的关系。结果表明：入境旅游经济与入境旅游人数存在正相关、稳定性以及长期动态均衡关系。在相同入境旅游人数的情况下，发达地区的旅游外汇收入高于其他地区；甘肃、湖南、山西3省接待人数对入境旅游经济的影响最大；新疆、海南、甘肃、青海等地的入境旅游经济对接待人数的依赖程度极强。
운용공간회귀모형，선취중국대륙31개성빈2003～2011년여유외회수입등상관면판수거지표，실증연구료아국입경여유경제여접대인수지간적관계。결과표명：입경여유경제여입경여유인수존재정상관、은정성이급장기동태균형관계。재상동입경여유인수적정황하，발체지구적여유외회수입고우기타지구；감숙、호남、산서3성접대인수대입경여유경제적영향최대；신강、해남、감숙、청해등지적입경여유경제대접대인수적의뢰정도겁강。
Taking 31 provinces ,autonomous regions ,and municipalities of mainland China as regional study unit , based on tourism foreign exchange earnings in 2003~2011 ,the relationship between inbound tourism economy and the number of oversea visitor arrivals in China is analyzed .The results are as following :there is a positive correla-tion ,stability and long-term dynamic equilibrium relationship between inbound tourism economy and the number of oversea visitor arrivals .On the premise of similar number of oversea visitor arrivals ,tourism foreign exchange earn-ings in developed regions are higher than those in other regions ;the number of oversea visitor arrivals in Gansu , Hunan ,Shanxi provinces has high influence ;and there is a strong dependence in Xinjiang ,Hainan ,Gansu ,Qinghai etc .