矿业安全与环保
礦業安全與環保
광업안전여배보
MINING SAFETY & ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
2013年
5期
52-55
,共4页
煤层瓦斯含量%多元回归分析%学生化残差%预测
煤層瓦斯含量%多元迴歸分析%學生化殘差%預測
매층와사함량%다원회귀분석%학생화잔차%예측
coal seam gas content%multivariate regression analysis%studentized residual%prediction
根据某矿影响煤层瓦斯含量的大量参数值,运用多元回归分析的数学模型,建立了煤层瓦斯含量预测的多元回归方程,并对方程及其系数的显著性作了检验,进行了学生化残差分析。通过此数学模型能够直观地反映煤层埋深、煤层厚度、地质构造、煤的顶底板岩性及煤的变质程度对煤层瓦斯含量的影响关系。结果证明预测的准确性较高,此方法可为矿井预测瓦斯含量提供一种有效途径。
根據某礦影響煤層瓦斯含量的大量參數值,運用多元迴歸分析的數學模型,建立瞭煤層瓦斯含量預測的多元迴歸方程,併對方程及其繫數的顯著性作瞭檢驗,進行瞭學生化殘差分析。通過此數學模型能夠直觀地反映煤層埋深、煤層厚度、地質構造、煤的頂底闆巖性及煤的變質程度對煤層瓦斯含量的影響關繫。結果證明預測的準確性較高,此方法可為礦井預測瓦斯含量提供一種有效途徑。
근거모광영향매층와사함량적대량삼수치,운용다원회귀분석적수학모형,건립료매층와사함량예측적다원회귀방정,병대방정급기계수적현저성작료검험,진행료학생화잔차분석。통과차수학모형능구직관지반영매층매심、매층후도、지질구조、매적정저판암성급매적변질정도대매층와사함량적영향관계。결과증명예측적준학성교고,차방법가위광정예측와사함량제공일충유효도경。
Based on a large number of parameters of coal seam gas content in a mine and by using the mathematical model of multivariate regression analysis, a multivariate regression equation for the prediction of seam gas content was established, the significance of the equation and its coefficient were tested and the studentized residual analysis was carried out. This equation can objectively reflect the influence relation of the buried depth and thickness of coal seams, the geological structure, the roof and floor lithology of the seam and the metamorphic grade of coal with the seam gas content. The results indicated that this method has very high accuracy and can provide an effective way for the prediction of seam gas content in a mine.