大气科学学报
大氣科學學報
대기과학학보
JOURNAL OF NANJING INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGY
2012年
3期
272-281
,共10页
闵锦忠%孔莹%杨春%鲍艳松
閔錦忠%孔瑩%楊春%鮑豔鬆
민금충%공형%양춘%포염송
集合均方根滤波%辐射资料同化%数值预报
集閤均方根濾波%輻射資料同化%數值預報
집합균방근려파%복사자료동화%수치예보
ensemble square-root filter%radiance data assimilation%numerical forecast
基于自主构建的WRF—EnSRF(Weather Researchand Forecasting—Ensemble Square—Root Filter)同化系统,同化了ATOVS(Advanced TIROS Operational Vertical Sounder)辐射率资料,以检验该系统同化卫星资料的能力及其在暴雨过程模拟中的效能。对2008年6月6—7日广东地区一次大暴雨过程进行了同化及数值模拟试验,结果表明,同化ATOVS辐射率资料得到的分析场,丰富了对流层高层的大气温度和对流层中低层的大气湿度信息,对风场也有一定的改进。控制试验和同化试验都较好地模拟出了降水的主要落区和发生时段,但控制试验对暴雨、大暴雨的雨区和雨强的模拟效果欠佳;相比而言,同化试验对强降水中心的位置、范围的模拟均有更好的反映,模拟的暴雨强度也与实际降水量级基本一致,同化改进效果明显。
基于自主構建的WRF—EnSRF(Weather Researchand Forecasting—Ensemble Square—Root Filter)同化繫統,同化瞭ATOVS(Advanced TIROS Operational Vertical Sounder)輻射率資料,以檢驗該繫統同化衛星資料的能力及其在暴雨過程模擬中的效能。對2008年6月6—7日廣東地區一次大暴雨過程進行瞭同化及數值模擬試驗,結果錶明,同化ATOVS輻射率資料得到的分析場,豐富瞭對流層高層的大氣溫度和對流層中低層的大氣濕度信息,對風場也有一定的改進。控製試驗和同化試驗都較好地模擬齣瞭降水的主要落區和髮生時段,但控製試驗對暴雨、大暴雨的雨區和雨彊的模擬效果欠佳;相比而言,同化試驗對彊降水中心的位置、範圍的模擬均有更好的反映,模擬的暴雨彊度也與實際降水量級基本一緻,同化改進效果明顯。
기우자주구건적WRF—EnSRF(Weather Researchand Forecasting—Ensemble Square—Root Filter)동화계통,동화료ATOVS(Advanced TIROS Operational Vertical Sounder)복사솔자료,이검험해계통동화위성자료적능력급기재폭우과정모의중적효능。대2008년6월6—7일엄동지구일차대폭우과정진행료동화급수치모의시험,결과표명,동화ATOVS복사솔자료득도적분석장,봉부료대류층고층적대기온도화대류층중저층적대기습도신식,대풍장야유일정적개진。공제시험화동화시험도교호지모의출료강수적주요락구화발생시단,단공제시험대폭우、대폭우적우구화우강적모의효과흠가;상비이언,동화시험대강강수중심적위치、범위적모의균유경호적반영,모의적폭우강도야여실제강수량급기본일치,동화개진효과명현。
Assimilation of ATOVS (Advanced TIROS Operational Vertical Sounder) microwave radi-ance data is implemented in WRF-EnSRF (Weather Research and Forecasting-Ensemble Square-Root Filter) system to test its capacity of satellite data assimilation and its simulation performance in a rain- storm. The ATOVS data assimilation experiment and the control experiment are performed to simulate a rainstorm process in Guangdong region on 6-7 June 2008. Results show that, assimilating the radiance data ,it can enrich temperature information in the upper troposphere and humidity information in the mid-lower troposphere, and improve initial wind field. Both experiments have well simulated the main rainfall area and period, but the simulations of the rain storm and large rain storm in the control experi-ment are not good enough. In contrast, the assimilation experiment can improve the simulations of loca-tion, intensity and range of the strong precipitation center, which is more accordant with the observed precipitation.