CAJ | 학술논문

以矿产资源经济承载力水平作为评价指标,构建静态和动态相结合的矿产资源承载力评价模型,阐述生态环境承载力对其的约束机制,并以福建省煤炭资源为例采用情景分析法进行实证分析,结果表明：在经济发展的高、中、低三种情景中,静态经济承载剩余年限分别为5.88年、6.21年和6.59年,动态经济承载剩余年限分别为9.81年、11.73年和14.80年,2008年的生态足迹为833.68公顷,2010年开始皆出现生态环境赤字,矿产资源承载力已经成为经济社会可持续发展的制约因素之一。基于实证结果,我们应当采取提高资源利用效率、开发替代资源等提高矿产资源承载力的措施和建议。
이광산자원경제승재력수평작위평개지표,구건정태화동태상결합적광산자원승재력평개모형,천술생태배경승재력대기적약속궤제,병이복건성매탄자원위례채용정경분석법진행실증분석,결과표명：재경제발전적고、중、저삼충정경중,정태경제승재잉여년한분별위5.88년、6.21년화6.59년,동태경제승재잉여년한분별위9.81년、11.73년화14.80년,2008년적생태족적위833.68공경,2010년개시개출현생태배경적자,광산자원승재력이경성위경제사회가지속발전적제약인소지일。기우실증결과,아문응당채취제고자원이용효솔、개발체대자원등제고광산자원승재력적조시화건의。
Applying the economic carrying capacity of mineral resources as an evaluation index system, the model which was combined with static and dynamic evaluation techniques was built and the constraint mechanism was also analysed for the ecological environmental capacity. The empirical analysis based on scenario analysis for the coal resources of Fujian Province shows that the static economic carrying capacity indicates 5.88 years, 6.21 years, 6.59 ydars and the dynamic economic carrying capacity indicates 9.81 years, 11.73 years, 14.80 years in the high, between and low scenario. The ecological footprint was 833.68 hm2 in 2008. Environmental deficit will generate in 2010. The carrying capacity of mineral resources has become one of the important constraints factors for the economic sustainable development. The paper approaches the feasible advices on increasing the carrying capaci- ty of mineral resources based on empirical analysis results.