龙岩学院学报
龍巖學院學報
룡암학원학보
JOURNAL OF LONGYAN UNIVERSITY
2012年
3期
85-89
,共5页
人口年龄结构%预测%成份数据%老龄化%生育政策
人口年齡結構%預測%成份數據%老齡化%生育政策
인구년령결구%예측%성빈수거%노령화%생육정책
structure of population ages%prediction%componential data%aging%population policy
根据1990至2010年我国人口年龄结构的统计数据,运用成份数据降维方法预测2011至2030年的人口年龄结构,其结果是人口年龄结构持续快速老化。及时调整生育政策,提高生育率,是必然的选择。
根據1990至2010年我國人口年齡結構的統計數據,運用成份數據降維方法預測2011至2030年的人口年齡結構,其結果是人口年齡結構持續快速老化。及時調整生育政策,提高生育率,是必然的選擇。
근거1990지2010년아국인구년령결구적통계수거,운용성빈수거강유방법예측2011지2030년적인구년령결구,기결과시인구년령결구지속쾌속노화。급시조정생육정책,제고생육솔,시필연적선택。
Based on the statistics of population age structure in China from 1990 to 2010, this paper tries to predict the structures of population ages in China from 2011 to 2030 by the data dimension reduction. The predictive result shows that the population age structures will become aging in a continuous and serious way. Therefore it is an inevitable choice to make a timely adjustment on the population policy and increase the birth rate.
