CAJ | 학술논문

通货膨胀是影响各国经济发展和社会稳定的重要问题,而通胀预期又是影响实际通货膨胀的重要因素。我国通货膨胀随着社会转型开始呈现周期性变化,对我国通货膨胀基于成本推动型、需求拉动型、结构型等等的研究也已经较多,但不容忽视的是,我国通货膨胀的惯性特征很强,通货膨胀的滞后效应十分明显,究其原因是通胀预期的作用。本文基于对通胀预期形成的认识,对其影响因素进行研究,然后通过实证分析,得到通胀预期形成的相关结论,最后对通货膨胀的管理提出政策建议。
통화팽창시영향각국경제발전화사회은정적중요문제,이통창예기우시영향실제통화팽창적중요인소。아국통화팽창수착사회전형개시정현주기성변화,대아국통화팽창기우성본추동형、수구랍동형、결구형등등적연구야이경교다,단불용홀시적시,아국통화팽창적관성특정흔강,통화팽창적체후효응십분명현,구기원인시통창예기적작용。본문기우대통창예기형성적인식,대기영향인소진행연구,연후통과실증분석,득도통창예기형성적상관결론,최후대통화팽창적관리제출정책건의。
Inflation is such a significant problem which can effect many countries＇ economical development and the social stabilization, and the inflation anticipation is one of the important factors to influence the inflation. With the society transformation of china, inflation in China changes periodically. There are so many studies about the cost-push inflation, demand-pull inflation, structural inflation and so on. But we can pay more attention to the inertia of inflation. Hysteresis of the inflation is always clear. In this article, by demonstration, to draw a conclusion about inducement administration of inflation. we will analyze the influence of the inflation anticipation of inflation, and try to give some policy suggestions about