CAJ | 학술논문

从什肃省的实际情况和人口增长的特点出发，建立甘肃省人口增长的数学模型，本文利用竹肃省1978-2010年的人口数量，利用马尔萨斯模型对甘肃省人口进行了预测，建立了人口预测公式。对甘肃省人口做山预测和分析，来预测甘肃省未来10年的人口数量。
종십숙성적실제정황화인구증장적특점출발，건립감숙성인구증장적수학모형，본문이용죽숙성1978-2010년적인구수량，이용마이살사모형대감숙성인구진행료예측，건립료인구예측공식。대감숙성인구주산예측화분석，래예측감숙성미래10년적인구수량。
This paper establishes a model of Gansu province increasing population based on the character of population increase and specific in Gansu province,in this paper using Gansu province population in year from1978 to 2010. The population of Gansu province has been predicted ueing Malthusian model, and the formula of population prediction has been obtained. The examination results indicate that this model has a better forecast effect than methods. This paper uses this model to forecast the population of Gansu province in nest ten years.