CAJ | 학술논문

本文通过对全国31个省2000-2010年农村小学教育经费面板时间序列的协整检验，并运用引入了共同因子估计量的CCEMG方法，对协整系数进行了估计，证明了农村小学教育供给中，不同类型经费（公用经费与人员经费）的预算内、外支出比例之间均存在“挤出”关系。运用动态面板模型的系统广义矩（Sys-GMM）的估计方法，分析出地方政府人均财政收入与农村基础教育不同种类经费支出的预算外部分之间呈现反向相关关系，证明了地方政府对人员经费有投入偏好，而对公用经费投入表现出较低的支付意愿，甚至是负向激励。结合地方政府偏好的行为逻辑，可以推断出农村教育公用经费将比人员经费更有可能面临短缺状况的结论。
본문통과대전국31개성2000-2010년농촌소학교육경비면판시간서렬적협정검험，병운용인입료공동인자고계량적CCEMG방법，대협정계수진행료고계，증명료농촌소학교육공급중，불동류형경비（공용경비여인원경비）적예산내、외지출비례지간균존재“제출”관계。운용동태면판모형적계통엄의구（Sys-GMM）적고계방법，분석출지방정부인균재정수입여농촌기출교육불동충류경비지출적예산외부분지간정현반향상관관계，증명료지방정부대인원경비유투입편호，이대공용경비투입표현출교저적지부의원，심지시부향격려。결합지방정부편호적행위라집，가이추단출농촌교육공용경비장비인원경비경유가능면림단결상황적결론。
Based on the provincial-level panel data from 2000 to 2010 in Mainland China, this paper employs the latest CCEMG method which introduces 'common factor' to correct cross-section dependent (CDS) biases in panel time-series unit root and panel cointegration estimations, to investigate a “Crowd-out effect” between budgetary and extra-budgetary expenditures per capita for elementary education in rural China. Sys-GMM estimations indicate different relevancies between Extra-budgetary and per capita revenue of local government in general spending and personnel spending in termes of financies rural local government privileges personnel expenditure, which puts general expenditure at a higher risk to inadequacies elementary education.