我国外汇储备影响因素的实证分析——基于主成分回归模型
아국외회저비영향인소적실증분석——기우주성분회귀모형
Empirical Analysis on China＇ s Foreign Exchange Reserves based on Principal Component Regression Model
  • 万方数据
    兰州石化职业技术学院学报 란주석화직업기술학원학보
    JOURNAL OF LANZHOU PETROCHEMICAL VOCATIONAL COLLEGE OF TECHNOLOGY
    2012年 2期 71-74 ,共4页

    陈原文%梁秋帆

    진원문%량추범

    外汇储备%主成分回归%模型参数估计%主成分 外彙儲備%主成分迴歸%模型參數估計%主成分
    외회저비%주성분회귀%모형삼수고계%주성분
    foreign reserves%principal component regression%parameter estimation of model%principal component
    基于主成分回归的方法,建立了我国外汇储备影响因素的计量模型。实证研究结果表明,实际利用外资额和GDP规模是影响我国外汇储备的主要因素,进口额、汇率、进出口差额也对我国的外汇储备造成一定的影响。
    기우주성분회귀적방법,건립료아국외회저비영향인소적계량모형。실증연구결과표명,실제이용외자액화GDP규모시영향아국외회저비적주요인소,진구액、회솔、진출구차액야대아국적외회저비조성일정적영향。
    Based on the principal component regression, this paper is to build a econometric model on the influencing factors of our country＇ s foreign reserves. According to the empirical results, utilization of foreign capital and the GDP scale are the main factors. Also, imports,exchange rates and the trade balance have exert influence on foreign reserves.
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