暴雨灾害
暴雨災害
폭우재해
TORRENTIAL RAIN AND DISASTERS
2012年
2期
155-160
,共6页
低温阴雨天气%EOF分析%海温异常%环流特征
低溫陰雨天氣%EOF分析%海溫異常%環流特徵
저온음우천기%EOF분석%해온이상%배류특정
cold and rainy weather%empirical orthogonal function (EOF)%abnormal SST%atmospheric circulation
利用1960-2010年福建省早稻播种育秧期平均气温、日照资料及NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,运用EOF和相关合成等方法,分析近51a福建省早稻播种育秧期低温阴雨日数分布类型与各类低温阴雨日数分布类型同期大气环流背景场及海温分布特征,并探讨其成因。结果表明:福建省低温阴雨日数空间分布主要为全省一致、南北相异两种类型,其中全省一致偏多(少)型为福建省低温阴雨空间分布主要类型。不同的低温阴雨型具有明显不同的环流特征,当欧亚大陆中高纬度为两槽一脊形势,槽脊强度强,易发全省一致偏多型低温阴雨,其强度弱则易发北多南少型低温阴雨;当欧亚大陆中高纬度为两槽两脊形势,则易发北少南多型低温阴雨,当欧亚大陆中高纬度环流平直,则低温阴雨一致偏少。全省一致偏(多)少型、北多南少型与海温异常关系不大;前冬赤道中部海温异常偏暖,易发北少南多型低温阴雨。福建低温阴雨天气的发生,需要适当强度的冷空气和稳定的水汽通道。
利用1960-2010年福建省早稻播種育秧期平均氣溫、日照資料及NCEP/NCAR再分析資料,運用EOF和相關閤成等方法,分析近51a福建省早稻播種育秧期低溫陰雨日數分佈類型與各類低溫陰雨日數分佈類型同期大氣環流揹景場及海溫分佈特徵,併探討其成因。結果錶明:福建省低溫陰雨日數空間分佈主要為全省一緻、南北相異兩種類型,其中全省一緻偏多(少)型為福建省低溫陰雨空間分佈主要類型。不同的低溫陰雨型具有明顯不同的環流特徵,噹歐亞大陸中高緯度為兩槽一脊形勢,槽脊彊度彊,易髮全省一緻偏多型低溫陰雨,其彊度弱則易髮北多南少型低溫陰雨;噹歐亞大陸中高緯度為兩槽兩脊形勢,則易髮北少南多型低溫陰雨,噹歐亞大陸中高緯度環流平直,則低溫陰雨一緻偏少。全省一緻偏(多)少型、北多南少型與海溫異常關繫不大;前鼕赤道中部海溫異常偏暖,易髮北少南多型低溫陰雨。福建低溫陰雨天氣的髮生,需要適噹彊度的冷空氣和穩定的水汽通道。
이용1960-2010년복건성조도파충육앙기평균기온、일조자료급NCEP/NCAR재분석자료,운용EOF화상관합성등방법,분석근51a복건성조도파충육앙기저온음우일수분포류형여각류저온음우일수분포류형동기대기배류배경장급해온분포특정,병탐토기성인。결과표명:복건성저온음우일수공간분포주요위전성일치、남북상이량충류형,기중전성일치편다(소)형위복건성저온음우공간분포주요류형。불동적저온음우형구유명현불동적배류특정,당구아대륙중고위도위량조일척형세,조척강도강,역발전성일치편다형저온음우,기강도약칙역발북다남소형저온음우;당구아대륙중고위도위량조량척형세,칙역발북소남다형저온음우,당구아대륙중고위도배류평직,칙저온음우일치편소。전성일치편(다)소형、북다남소형여해온이상관계불대;전동적도중부해온이상편난,역발북소남다형저온음우。복건저온음우천기적발생,수요괄당강도적랭공기화은정적수기통도。
Using the daily average temperature and sunshine at observatories in Fujian province and the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data from 1960 to 2010, distribution types, atmospheric circulation and SST field characteristics of the cold and rainy weather during rice seeding period in early spring in Fujian are studied and the causes are investigated with the methods of empirical orthogonal function (EOF) and composite analysis etc. The results show that there are mainly two anomalous distribution types: one is above normal (below normaD in whole province, the other is above normal (below normal) in the northern province and below normal (above normal) in the southern province. The above nor- mal (below normal) in whole province type is/he leading type in the past 51 years. Different type has obviously different atmospheric circula- tion characteristics. When there are two troughs and one ridge over the mid-and high- latitudes area of Asia and Europe, the above normal in whole province type is easy to appear if the troughs and ridge are all strong or the above normal in the northern province and below normal in the southern province type is easy to appear if the troughs and ridge are weaker, When there are two troughs and two ridge over the middle and high latitude area of Asia and Europe, the below normal in the northern province and above normal in the southern province type is easy to ap- pear; when the zonal circulation over middle and high latitude area of Asia and Europe is considered as the main characteristics, the below normal in whole province type is easy to appear. The above normal (below normal) in whole province type, the above normal in the northern province and below normal in the southern province type have little relationship with the abnormal SST. The below normal in the northern province and above normal in the southern province type is easy to appear if the SST in the area of the middle equator in preceding winter is obviously higher than normal. The appearance of cold and rainy weather needs proper cold air and stable transferring of water vapor