CAJ | 학술논문

了解技术所处的生命周期，跟踪技术发展，是技术决策者的主要决策依据，也是整个技术发展变革中有力的事实支撑。文章从新的角度对技术生命周期各阶段进行划分，分析了科技论文和专利两大科研产出事实型数据的在各阶段的表现；随后归纳了常用的技术生命周期判断方法，分析各个方法的优缺点，并形成系统的方法体系。
료해기술소처적생명주기，근종기술발전，시기술결책자적주요결책의거，야시정개기술발전변혁중유력적사실지탱。문장종신적각도대기술생명주기각계단진행화분，분석료과기논문화전리량대과연산출사실형수거적재각계단적표현；수후귀납료상용적기술생명주기판단방법，분석각개방법적우결점，병형성계통적방법체계。
It's the main basis for decision making that understanding technology's life cycle and tracking technology development, and it's also the strong factual support in the entire technology process. The author introduces the phases of Technology Life Cycle from a new point of view, and analyses the performance of paper and patent at every stage as two kinds of factual data. Then, the article concludes the methods to distinguish the phases of TLC to form a method system, and summarizes the advantages and disadvantages of each method in the end.